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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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scottsvb
Weather Master


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Posts: 1184
Loc: fl
Re: Wilma Becomes Category 4 Hurricane [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #59139 - Wed Oct 19 2005 06:51 AM

BOB Stop plz,,,,you are not getting anything from Wilma right now,,,its just a shower off the coast coming in on trade winds....I dont care what the radio said..

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Thunderbird12
Meteorologist


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Loc: Oklahoma
Re: Wilma Becomes Category 4 Hurricane [Re: scottsvb]
      #59140 - Wed Oct 19 2005 06:53 AM

URNT12 KNHC 190648
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 19/06:11:10Z
B. 16 deg 58 min N
082 deg 11 min W
C. 700 mb 2132 m
D. NA kt
E. NA deg nm
F. 202 deg 168 kt
G. 109 deg 003 nm
H. EXTRAP 892 mb
I. 10 C/ 3058 m
J. 24 C/ 3034 m
K. 11 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. C2
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF308 0724A Wilma OB 12
MAX FL WIND 168 KT SE QUAD 06:10:20 Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 700 MB


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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser


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Loc: Valladolid,Mx
Re: Wilma Becomes Category FIVE [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #59141 - Wed Oct 19 2005 06:53 AM

Rain is very heavy here now,gusty winds.Wow,this far out,amazing.Also lighting.

--------------------

Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .


Edited by ftlaudbob (Wed Oct 19 2005 06:54 AM)


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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


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Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
Re: Wilma Becomes Category FIVE [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #59142 - Wed Oct 19 2005 06:54 AM

well back *hehehe*

deleted *** posted above vortex


2NM wide eye...... ????? WOW!!!! talk about tight..... Sounds like an ERC or something... going from 4nm to 2nm.... or is she trying to become a big tornado? (j/K) *L*

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



Edited by Storm Hunter (Wed Oct 19 2005 06:58 AM)


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scottsvb
Weather Master


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Posts: 1184
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Re: Wilma Becomes Category FIVE [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #59143 - Wed Oct 19 2005 06:54 AM

BOB Stop...we all know its not from Wilma...your not 12 years old, your a grown adult,,

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Lake Toho - Kissimmee
Storm Tracker


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Loc: Kissimmee, Florida on Lake Toh...
Re: Wilma Becomes Category 4 Hurricane [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #59144 - Wed Oct 19 2005 06:56 AM

Everyone in Florida will get some rain from this. I am not sure if what you are getting is from this Hurricane or typical seabreeze storms that effect the coast. It maybe driving some moisture into your area, but nothing that cannot be considered normal for South Florida or any part of the penninsula for that matter.

If I know Bryan Norcross and I do, he is probably salivating hoping that this storm will once again kick start his career.

--------------------
Dream like you will live forever.. Live like there is no tommorow.. Darwin Rules !!


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Margie
Senior Storm Chaser


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Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities
Re: Wilma Becomes Category 4 Hurricane [Re: Thunderbird12]
      #59145 - Wed Oct 19 2005 06:56 AM

How is that even possible? 2nm in diameter?

OK so how does this play out? This has got to be some kind of self-destruct scenario, right? The eye collapses. Would that send some kind of shock wave through the storm?

--------------------
Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp


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Goosus
Verified CFHC User


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Posts: 21
Loc: Boise ID
Re: Wilma Becomes Category 4 Hurricane [Re: Thunderbird12]
      #59146 - Wed Oct 19 2005 06:56 AM

Where are you getting this raw real time flight data?

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Thunderbird12
Meteorologist


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Loc: Oklahoma
Re: Wilma Becomes Category 4 Hurricane [Re: Thunderbird12]
      #59147 - Wed Oct 19 2005 06:56 AM

2 mile wide eye... it is going to implode at this rate. The inner core could come apart at any time now.

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danielwAdministrator
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Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Wilma Becomes Category FIVE [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #59148 - Wed Oct 19 2005 06:56 AM

Okay Bob, and others in S FL. I'm not able to find Any information on whether to evacuate, or not.

As Colleen said earlier, Gov Bush should declare a state of Emergency this morning...for those just joining the discussion, that's (Probable) State of Emergency.

Based on the forecasts and projected 5 Day Track. Wilma should come ashore near Marco Island...i.e. very SW Florida. And move across to the East Coast.
The angle of her track will depend on the timing and location of the forecast Cold Front.

Bob, the initial winds in the Ft Lauderdale area...Should be from the SE?-effectively pushing the water into Biscayne Bay and other low lying areas.

This is my speculation ONLY. Based on Hurricane wind fields.
Check your Evacuation Zones...Know which one you are in...and get everything ready to evacuate.

You may not have to go anywhere. But it's better to be ready than not. I have no idea how FL traffic is during an Evacuation. I have seen the media shots and they aren't pretty. If you and your family can leave in the early hours of the morning. That might be best.

Just remember to take flashlights, water-lots of it, and fuel. Don't count on any town down the road having fuel. You may have to drive into Georgia before you find any ( worst case scenario...).


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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser


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Loc: Valladolid,Mx
Re: Wilma Becomes Category FIVE [Re: scottsvb]
      #59149 - Wed Oct 19 2005 06:57 AM

Yes it is,and if you had any idea what was going on you would know this.So just get on with your "life" and stop attacking me.

--------------------

Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .


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scottsvb
Weather Master


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Posts: 1184
Loc: fl
Re: Wilma Becomes Category 4 Hurricane [Re: Margie]
      #59150 - Wed Oct 19 2005 06:58 AM

BOB isnt getting anything but a typical shower off the coast,,,should be end of discussion,,where are the admins?

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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


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Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Short term Weather [Re: danielw]
      #59151 - Wed Oct 19 2005 06:59 AM

Bob, the weather you are experiencing right now isn't directly from Wilma. Please go get a glass of water and sip it...

A 2nm Eye?? What's going on here?
2005-The Record Year...If there was a record, they broke it!


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KC
Weather Hobbyist


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Posts: 87
Loc: Naples, FL
Re: Wilma Becomes Category FIVE [Re: danielw]
      #59152 - Wed Oct 19 2005 07:00 AM

The Collier County Commissioners were scheduled to meet in emergency session at 3pm on Thursday re: Wilma. I am thinking that meeting might just be held a little earlier. Lee County did their emergency declaration yesterday. Collier EM is very good so I'm sure we will get some good info from them.

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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser


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Posts: 829
Loc: Valladolid,Mx
Re: Short term Weather [Re: danielw]
      #59153 - Wed Oct 19 2005 07:01 AM

I just listen to the local mets.They all say these are feeder bands.Not one met but three.

--------------------

Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .


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Thunderbird12
Meteorologist


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Posts: 644
Loc: Oklahoma
Re: Wilma Becomes Category 4 Hurricane [Re: Goosus]
      #59154 - Wed Oct 19 2005 07:03 AM

Quote:

Where are you getting this raw real time flight data?




You can get the recon data from this link:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/reconlist.shtml


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Tazmanian93
Weather Master


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Posts: 495
Loc: Tampa
Re: Wilma Becomes Category FIVE [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #59155 - Wed Oct 19 2005 07:03 AM

High pressure in mid-levels of the atmosphere across the central and western Gulf of Mexico has actually expanded some according to upper air data gathered by a high flying NOAA aircraft. This data suggests that the upper level ridge is a bit stronger and that explains why Wilma has been moving more west than north during the night. Was this expected or unexpected according to NHC?

--------------------
Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.

Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!

****************

Ed


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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


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Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Short term Weather [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #59156 - Wed Oct 19 2005 07:06 AM

Okay, well I'm not a MET. I didn't stay at Holiday InnExpress last night.

But feeder bands...Go Into the storm. The ones over your area are from the outflow . Tell your METS to call me. We'll do a little satellite meterology.

Seriously, go get some water. I sent you a PM with the MFL short term forecast in it. If my sats are right. You will have a break in the rain shortly. And then another larger area of rain will pass through.

It's Wilma interacting with another weather system off to your east.


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Margie
Senior Storm Chaser


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Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities
Re: Wilma Becomes Category FIVE [Re: Tazmanian93]
      #59157 - Wed Oct 19 2005 07:06 AM

Their take on it was long-term...and occuring over the next day or so. I don't know if this would be considered just a wrinkle that will be ironed out in the big picture, or a significant change that will require an adjustment of the track forecast.

--------------------
Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp


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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


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Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
Re: Wilma Becomes Category 4 Hurricane [Re: Thunderbird12]
      #59158 - Wed Oct 19 2005 07:07 AM

talk about implode.... can't think of all that energy fixing to clash..... wow..... my brain is going crazy.....poor NOAA hrd guys must be sick to there stomach not having real time radar data from there aircraft.... not sure if AF can transmitt real time... i know that can send archived.... not "live"... plane to sat to hrd...



**added some suff i am looking at now....

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/Storm_pages/ifex2005/IFEX-Late_Phase_debrief.htm

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



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