57497479
Weather Master
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Posts: 414
Loc: W. Central Florida
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Thanks Kevin, I too agree with a lot of others that we will have a few more storms this season,perhaps even active well into Nov.
How bout those BUCS !!! So far so good.......
Toni
-------------------- TONI
All of us could take a lesson from the weather:
It pays no attention to criticism
My 2003 Hurricane guess 13-9-3
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TheSaints
Unregistered
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What are we at, 12-4-3, or 12-4-4? My early season prediction was 13-8-3. That's obviously low in the 'total' number department, high in the Cat1&2 category and ? on the IH's with the Carribean season yet to roll out.
Steve-unlogged
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57497479
Weather Master
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Posts: 414
Loc: W. Central Florida
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To tell you the truth Steve, I'm not real sure on the count. I have been working 12 hr. days lately and it has been a chore for me to keep up with all of this activity. Not much sleep lately, but hopefully we can have a couple of days off before the caribbean starts to get active. Sounds like your #'s are close!
Toni
-------------------- TONI
All of us could take a lesson from the weather:
It pays no attention to criticism
My 2003 Hurricane guess 13-9-3
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Steveunplugged
Unregistered
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http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories/s1048.htm
Check this out. Obviously we're progressing with technology and meteorology. I hadn't even heard of this yet!
Steve
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57497479
Weather Master
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Posts: 414
Loc: W. Central Florida
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Obviously these radars were in place to be used at the beginning of the season. I don't recall hearing anything about them or that they would be used. Anyway, the data that these radars can produce could be invaluable in the future. The high resolution is totally awsome, almost made you feel like you were there, but under safer circumstances of course.
The convection in the Caribbean and in the Atlantic is still holding together. The caribbean looks more impressive at this point. When I see convection firing in that neck of the woods this time of the year it gets my full attention.
Toni
-------------------- TONI
All of us could take a lesson from the weather:
It pays no attention to criticism
My 2003 Hurricane guess 13-9-3
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Bill
Unregistered
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This project has been in place, off and on, since Hugo, and more so since Fran. It's a 'spin-off' (no pun intended) from tornado research....they worked on Bret too, but could not get fully into position.
IHS,
Bill
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57497479
Weather Master
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Posts: 414
Loc: W. Central Florida
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This is my first season on this forum and it has really been great. I have learned alot. I just wish I had known about this site years ago.
SOMEBODY PLEASE TELL ME THAT IS NOT KYLE THAT THE UKMET IS TRYING TO TAKE SOUTH. IS HE NOT EVER GOING TO GO AWAY?
TONI
-------------------- TONI
All of us could take a lesson from the weather:
It pays no attention to criticism
My 2003 Hurricane guess 13-9-3
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1299
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After the two most exciting and intense weeks of the season things have quieted down somewhat.... wave in the W Caribbean appears to be holding it's own thus far moving towards the WNW and/or NW but not expected to develop any time soon...Presures inland over CA running in the 1008 and 1009 mb range tonight.. Kyle is a non event and subtropical low east of Bermuda heading off to the SW.. another wave approaching the antillies heading WNW but faced with a big shear event just ahead of it... so nothing imminent on the horizon...
If I was to pick which one had best chance to develop I guess I'd go with the W Car right now... if it can continue to persist and not fizzle out over land...
Saints still lead the NFC South I might add..... Old Miss whipped the Gators... BIG upset... HoustonTracker should be on cloud nine tonight...
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Bruce
Weather Guru
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Posts: 139
Loc: Palm Bay, Florida
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Ed, when are we going to get some rain In Brevard? Melbourne set a record in September, October looking to be very dry also. Whats going on?
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Bruce
Weather Guru
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Loc: Palm Bay, Florida
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Kyle making a come back, again. How will the ULL to his west effect him?
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UnpluggedSteve
Unregistered
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Are among the most aggressive in predicting a western Gulf event in 5 days. and are more in line with an East Pac development. Canadian actually is putting a Cat-1 or Cat-2 between Lake Charles and Galveston. We're otherwise in a lull period (for the most part). If there's any action for the US this month, 15th-25th is most likely.
Steve
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PewterPirates
Unregistered
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Also may i "ADD" There is alot of the season left !......GO BUCS !
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57497479
Weather Master
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Posts: 414
Loc: W. Central Florida
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So far this season has superseded the # of storms predicted by a lot of people. Just think offically it was suppose to be average to below average, and the season is certainly not over yet. The caribbean and the GOM could easily have another 2-3 storms and the Central Atlantic could also see another storm.
Then there is Kyle he's been a PIA, but he's been around soooo long that when he is finally gone I think I may miss him!
LOL Toni
HOW BOUT THOSE BUCS!!!
-------------------- TONI
All of us could take a lesson from the weather:
It pays no attention to criticism
My 2003 Hurricane guess 13-9-3
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Steveunplugged
Unregistered
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Heh.
Here's a late afternoon note from Bastardi echoing potential Western Gulf action:
>>Full post tomorrow including a focus on western gulf weather where a pattern conducive to alot of rain, and possible development is setting up.
He also notes Kyle will move South, then SW and potentially threaten FL or the Bahamian Kingdom sometime later in the week. Looks like maybe an interesting week afterall.
Steve - Saints 4-1 - 1st Place in the ENTIRE NFC baby.
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57497479
Weather Master
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Posts: 414
Loc: W. Central Florida
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Long range models also confirms what Bastardi is concerned about. Seems like the west/central gulf is a target zone this season.
I want to see Kyle start moving before I believe anything out of him!
BUCS 4-1 YOUR GOING TO HAVE TO SHARE THE GLORY
TONI
-------------------- TONI
All of us could take a lesson from the weather:
It pays no attention to criticism
My 2003 Hurricane guess 13-9-3
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joepub1
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 240
Loc: Jacksonville,Fla
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Kyle just won't give up, will he? But threaten Fl or Bermuda? Years ago we called those nor-easters! Believe it when I see it. W GOM clouds seem real close to land to develope anytime soon; have no idea what that ULL to east of Kyle is up to. Sub-trop perhaps?
For all the Saints and Bucs fans: we here in Jacksonville can tell you for a fact that the Eagles are no lock for the Super Bowl as we beat them 28-25 (and we're in a rebuilding year? 3-1 ). In fact, all of Florida's pro teams are looking really good at the moment.
Frank, I told you those Gators were a weak Cat2, at best. Zook's catching hell over here.
Joe in JAX
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57497479
Weather Master
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Posts: 414
Loc: W. Central Florida
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The BUCS are going thru a transitional year also, but I like what I see so far.
Toni
-------------------- TONI
All of us could take a lesson from the weather:
It pays no attention to criticism
My 2003 Hurricane guess 13-9-3
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joepub1
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 240
Loc: Jacksonville,Fla
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And on that note, Toni, you just became a guru!
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57497479
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 414
Loc: W. Central Florida
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Well thank you Joe, but I am only a GURU at replies. I am defiantly still a student.
Toni
-------------------- TONI
All of us could take a lesson from the weather:
It pays no attention to criticism
My 2003 Hurricane guess 13-9-3
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joepub1
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 240
Loc: Jacksonville,Fla
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Well, at 11 the seems to think that Kyle is now going to move SOUTH of me again. A very long discussion, which hinted at him poss. becoming a hurricane again. When Dora hit NE FL 38 yrs ago, it was because she interacted with another storm and got pushed west. Of course, they also said they don't really know exactly where he is; it seems he's got a good magic act going again:
THE INITIAL LOCATION IS SOMEWHAT PROBLEMATIC WITH A 07/0025Z SSMI OVERPASS INDICATING A POSSIBLE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION NORTHWEST OF THE ADVISORY POSITION... WHILE THE SAME IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES A LARGE MID-LEVEL DOUGHNUT-HOLE FEATURE TO THE SOUTH.
I have no idea what their getting at..........
Toni, your now a three-star weather guru student....I'll bet FL see's a landfall from something before Oct 31.........
Joe in JAX
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