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Tropical Storm Watch issued for the Lower and Middle Florida Keys from Key West to W of Channel 5 Bridge, and for the Dry Tortugas #RAFAEL #FLWX
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 25 (Milton) , Major: 25 (Milton) Florida - Any: 25 (Milton) Major: 25 (Milton)
38.5N 16.2W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 999mb
Moving:
Ene at 17 mph
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15.8N 76.9W
Wind: 45MPH
Pres: 1000mb
Moving:
Nnw at 9 mph
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Archives 2002-2009 >> 2006 Forecast Lounge

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saturnjax
Registered User


Reged:
Posts: 1
Re: C'mon! Lets hear those landfall predictions! [Re: Ed G]
      #59436 - Wed Oct 19 2005 01:16 PM

Landfall should be near Everglades City and Chokoloskee crossing the state pretty quickly and exiting around
Hobe Sound , Port St Lucie.

Craig


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blueskyt
Unregistered




Re: C'mon! Lets hear those landfall predictions! [Re: Unregistered User]
      #59440 - Wed Oct 19 2005 01:20 PM

i too am interested if anyone has any ideas on the storm surge levels 60 miles north of tampa/st. petersburg.

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Ed G
Weather Hobbyist


Reged:
Posts: 77
Loc: Clermont, Fl
Re: C'mon! Lets hear those landfall predictions! [Re: FlaMommy]
      #59443 - Wed Oct 19 2005 01:23 PM

well, if folks want to argue, let 'em stay on the storm forum and the mods can deal with it.

Lets use this string to express our gut feelings were the storm may land (catharsis) and express and enjoy a little humour.

I think poking a little fun at ourselves would be very theraputic at this pont in time!


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FlaMommy
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 225
Loc: Tampa(Riverview), Florida
Re: C'mon! Lets hear those landfall predictions! [Re: Ed G]
      #59444 - Wed Oct 19 2005 01:27 PM

you know Ed i couldnt agree with you more...i think its a great idea ...i just hope there isnt another conflict as there was lastnight in the forum....:)

--------------------
"Haven't thought of a witty one lately"


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amberview
Unregistered




I would like to be different and say... [Re: Ed G]
      #59474 - Wed Oct 19 2005 02:03 PM

It won't hit Florida. After all, the forecasters always keep the same model for a day or two and then it changes. And I am optomistic.

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Mike P
Registered User


Reged:
Posts: 2
Loc: Winter Haven
Re: I would like to be different and say... [Re: amberview]
      #59522 - Wed Oct 19 2005 03:01 PM

Go Noles! and the FSU Super computer....blow Wilma away...far away.....the is a certain nervousness here in Winter Haven tonight and not a generator to be had. Went to 2 different stores and had 3 different flyers from tree service companies on my windshield when I came out. Wonder if that is a portent of things to come?

Anyone have a good site that shows up to the minute tracking runs?

--------------------
Mike


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wxshoen
Registered User


Reged:
Posts: 1
Loc: Florida
Re: I would like to be different and say... [Re: Mike P]
      #59601 - Wed Oct 19 2005 05:12 PM

Landfall between Pinellas to Sarasota counties and exiting between the cape to Daytona beach.

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txgirl
Unregistered




Re: C'mon! Lets hear those landfall predictions! [Re: Ed G]
      #59613 - Wed Oct 19 2005 05:29 PM

I think that the drastic north eastern turn is unrealistic especially being that it is traveling northwest. I think it will hit Baton Rouge LA a cat 3.

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flkh
Unregistered




Re: C'mon! Lets hear those landfall predictions! [Re: Ed G]
      #59620 - Wed Oct 19 2005 05:36 PM

I say it will be more north then the models show .To the north of Tarpon Springs or maybe even yankeetown

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renob
Unregistered




Re: C'mon! Lets hear those landfall predictions! [Re: flkh]
      #59623 - Wed Oct 19 2005 05:39 PM

ok...no response on the predictions for coastal surge up the west coast so........my landfall projection is IN at Port Richey OUT at Daytona.

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Spoken
Weather Hobbyist


Reged:
Posts: 64
Re: C'mon! Lets hear those landfall predictions! [Re: Ed G]
      #59631 - Wed Oct 19 2005 05:58 PM

Cancun.

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Southern4sure
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 121
Loc: Land O Lakes, FL
Re: C'mon! Lets hear those landfall predictions! [Re: flkh]
      #59633 - Wed Oct 19 2005 06:01 PM

Quote:

I say it will be more north then the models show .To the north of Tarpon Springs or maybe even yankeetown




Nope Nope...I refuse to believe this......


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00cj
Weather Watcher


Reged:
Posts: 26
Loc: Panama City Beach, F.L.
Re: C'mon! Lets hear those landfall predictions! [Re: Ed G]
      #59636 - Wed Oct 19 2005 06:14 PM

Because mine isn't even in the cone... im going to give a window
From Apalachicola to Cedar Key!
Why? Because I believe people have stated the trough is weaker and so instead of it not catching the storm at all I think it might just lift it Northward then NE instead of a sharp NE turn...
Also i am Me bias....
I have No clue in This stuff so fill free to Pick apart at will lol


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Lee-Delray
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 429
Re: C'mon! Lets hear those landfall predictions! [Re: 00cj]
      #59640 - Wed Oct 19 2005 06:22 PM

In at Fort Meyers out Sebastian; then a run up the cost to visit the Kennedy compound on Cape Cod.

What the hell!!


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Tazmanian93
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 495
Loc: Tampa
Re: C'mon! Lets hear those landfall predictions! [Re: Lee-Delray]
      #59646 - Wed Oct 19 2005 06:30 PM

In 28N -82.7, Out, Just S of New Smyrna Bch

--------------------
Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.

Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!

****************

Ed


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wizardlady4u
Unregistered




Re: C'mon! Lets hear those landfall predictions! [Re: Ed G]
      #59657 - Wed Oct 19 2005 06:54 PM

I'm Thinking you are all wrong...LOL See if that trough from the n.w. isn't strong enough , leads right up into the gulf .......somewhere between Pensacola Beach and Appalach............

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the young weatherman
Verified CFHC User


Reged:
Posts: 23
Loc: Toronto, ON, Canada
Re: C'mon! Lets hear those landfall predictions! [Re: wizardlady4u]
      #59685 - Wed Oct 19 2005 07:40 PM

The keys is the more likely if the storm moves like this

--------------------
Bow down to the The youngest Meoteorologist on Earth!!!!!!! MauHaHa!
You wanna see my lastest forecast for severe weather?
CLick Here


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tonyd
Unregistered




spin around in mex-cancun, split out east. no FL landfall [Re: DebbieInFla]
      #59686 - Wed Oct 19 2005 07:41 PM

wilma will not make landfall in florida. it will touch mexico the most.

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the young weatherman
Verified CFHC User


Reged:
Posts: 23
Loc: Toronto, ON, Canada
Re: spin around in mex-cancun, split out east. no FL landfall [Re: tonyd]
      #59700 - Wed Oct 19 2005 07:53 PM

What are you talking about???? it will hit Mexico of course but then it will turn to Florida for sure! It is a 99.9%!

--------------------
Bow down to the The youngest Meoteorologist on Earth!!!!!!! MauHaHa!
You wanna see my lastest forecast for severe weather?
CLick Here


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jim09091
Unregistered




Re: spin around in mex-cancun, split out east. no FL landfall [Re: the young weatherman]
      #59717 - Wed Oct 19 2005 08:17 PM

no it is not 99.9%

prediction: i'll go out on a limb here... through or south of the keys.


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