willw
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 32
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They are sticking to naples, no not venice, not sarasota NOT FT.MYERS not punta gorda not port charlotte not bradenton..
But sticking to naples.... I'm telling you heads are going to roll if this thing hits way north of where they been predicting for what a week now? If it does hit where they say (key west/naples) then i will have new found respect for their forcasting of future storms.
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FlaMommy
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 225
Loc: Tampa(Riverview), Florida
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Quote:
max mayfield just said long boat was north of tampa....
having stayed at my Grandparents' house on Anna Maria Island (Due north of Longboat) for many years, I can say with precise certainty where Longboat Key is.  -Tom
im very sorry i just looked it up myself...so looks like i just payed for a hotel room we didnt even need....:(
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"Haven't thought of a witty one lately"
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FireAng85
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 76
Loc: Mount Dora, FL 32757
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According to Mapquest, Longboat Key is 60 miles south of Tampa, about 1 hour and 20 minutes.
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Angie Robertson
OCFRD
"So others may live"
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MichaelA
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 947
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
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Straight line, it's only about 30 miles from Tampa - coast between Bradenton and Sarasota.
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Michael
PWS
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Rasvar
Weather Master
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Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
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About 20 miles south of the opening to Tampa Bay is Longboat Key. Just south of Tamapa Bay is about where I thought they would put up the watch. Current forecast looks fine for now. Plenty of chances to update it if models keep shifting.
EDIT: ANd for those nashing teeth, a hurricane watch is posted to all of those areas north. IE, Sarasota, Bradenton, Venice, etc. If people did not learn the lesson from last year, pay not attention to the line. Look to the cone, young man.
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Jim
Edited by Rasvar (Sat Oct 22 2005 05:16 PM)
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weatherwatcher2
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 97
Loc: Parrish florida
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you are correct!
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Multi-Decadal Signal
Weather Guru
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Posts: 149
Loc: BROWARD
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Max made a slip of the tongue. LB Key is ~15 N of Sarasota and is South of Tampa. 
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Who you gonna' believe?
Me, or your damn lying eyes?
_Ö_ _ö_
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Kruz
Verified CFHC User
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Does anyone have any thoughts on what happens when meets Alpha?
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Dunnellon, FL
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evergladesangler
Weather Hobbyist
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They raised the likely intensity to CAT 2/ CAT 3 on landfall in the 5pm discussion.
I also find the 65 nm probabilities interesting:
KEY WEST FL X 16 12 X 28
MARCO ISLAND FL X 15 18 1 34
FT MYERS FL X 15 19 X 34
VENICE FL X 16 18 X 34
TAMPA FL X 8 21 1 30
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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser
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Posts: 829
Loc: Valladolid,Mx
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The fact that she is leaving the Yucatan sooner than expected maybe bad news for us here in South Florida.They seem confident with the projected path.Now starts the nail biting time,how strong will she get.Good news for Tampa.Also got a local Hurricane statement that says on this path there should be many tornados with .Good luck to all,and be prepared!!!!
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Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .
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tpratch
Moderator
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Posts: 341
Loc: Maryland
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I apologize to have sidetracked folks with my statements.
Anyone who can drive from Tampa to Longboat in the 90 minutes mapquest suggests gets a gold medal. Depending on the time of day and season of the year, the trip from I-75 to the beach can take that long by itself.
Your Mileage May Vary - See Participating Stores for Details.
--Tom
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Big Tk
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 25
Loc: Tampa FL
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I would just like to comment on all of this bickering between people who live north of the forecast track and south of it. It seems to me that both of you are fighting over were it hits as if you went if to affect your local area. I guess there is a sent of excitement to a degree, but I would be much happier to see it dissipate.
You guys are worst then my kids
nobody is arguing about the forecast path - merely about the location of Longboat Key. The information is publically accessible and the matter has been resolved. No further discussion needs to occur along these lines, dig? - Tom
Edited by Big Tk (Sat Oct 22 2005 05:25 PM)
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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
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here's a map of longboat key....fl
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www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh
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Addicted2Cane
Verified CFHC User
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Posts: 13
Loc:
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What can be expected where and the front come together, collide? Any ideas on what area of Fla or Gulf this may take place?
the front has lost a lot of its momentum. it'll just kinda string out across north central florida, and the hurricane will move along ahead of it. as it passes it will drag the front southward behind it a little. the actual 'collision' where the storm starts to phase into the westerlies and becomes associated with the front will happen further north off the east coast. -HF
Edited by HanKFranK (Sat Oct 22 2005 05:28 PM)
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FlaMommy
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 225
Loc: Tampa(Riverview), Florida
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i was just simply stating what max mayfield had said....and then got told that it wasnt north it was south....we are fighting...im very glad were not in the hurricane watch as of now...im more than glad...just upset that i just lost 65 bucks on ahotel room im not even gonna need now....so please dont say i was hoping it would come here...i wish it would just go into the sea and be a fish spinner but obviously that isnt goint o happen
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"Haven't thought of a witty one lately"
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jbmusic
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 42
Loc: Bradenton, Fl
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I live in Bradenton and spent much time on Longboat Key it is is definailty south of Tampa
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Jenny Bradenton, Florida
www.bbdigitalphoto.com
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Geoff
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 50
Loc: Tampa, FL
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So if Max Mayfield through Longboat was north of Tampa not south, are the warnings in the wrong place 
nope.-HF
Edited by HanKFranK (Sat Oct 22 2005 05:30 PM)
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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser
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Posts: 829
Loc: Valladolid,Mx
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OK,Can we get off this silly topic.We do have a hurricane coming.
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Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .
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Random Chaos
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 1024
Loc: Maryland
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New recon - Eliptical eye 55-75NM; pressure up 1mb to 958mb.
016
URNT12 KNHC 222110
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 22/2041Z
B. 21 DEG 25 MIN N
87 DEG 04 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2720 MA
D. 50 KT
E. 225 DEG 40 NM
F. 319 DEG 90 KT
G. 224 DEG 36 NM
H. 958 MB
I. 12 C/ 3060 M
J. 14 C/ 3062 M
K. 14 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. E36-75-55
N. 12345/7
O. 1/1 NM
P. NOAA2 1824A OB 14
MAX FL WIND 91 KT NE QUAD 2050Z
REMNENTS OF INNER EYEWALL ON RADAR.
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FlaMommy
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 225
Loc: Tampa(Riverview), Florida
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very very good question.....can anyone give their thoughts on that....
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"Haven't thought of a witty one lately"
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