TinaB
Verified CFHC User
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Posts: 20
Loc: Tampa, FL
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I think what gets me most is when people say "such and such a location can breath a sigh of relief" or "this looks good for such and such a place" Truth of the matter is none of us in peninsular Florida can really breath a sigh of relief yet. This thing is going to make landfall on the West coast of FL somewhere...and most of us here are going to feel winds from . I just don't think it's prudent for anyone to say that Tampa is lucky or the Keys are lucky and such.
At any rate, I just looked at the wind swath forecast on the website and it looks like with in 36 hours a good section of SW Florida from Tampa Bay south and east to Lake O and down through the keys will be experiencing TS force winds. Is the long agonizing wait finally over? 
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tpratch
Moderator
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Posts: 341
Loc: Maryland
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I'm leaving things in place because levity is good. However, *gulp* ralph is right and there is a hurricane bearing down on most of us here. The windfield is forecast to expand substantially before, at, and after landfall, so almost all of us will endure some form of elevated wind and rain.
So, hopefully the entire board now knows where Manatee county is in addition to where the hurricane warnings are. Please reduce the number of one-liner posts after this point here....
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Joshua
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 43
Loc: Fort Lauderdale, FL
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People need to not get caught off guard by a Category 1 hurricane. Even if you have a hurricane of 100-110mph, and you add the hurricane's forward speed of 15-20mph when it gets caught in a trough, you're easily looking at producing frequent wind gusts of 130-140mph.
THIS IS A CATEGORY 3/4 HURRICANE FORCE! As Bryan Norcross likes to say on CBS, "always +/- one hurrricane category with intensity forecasts because they are not very accurate," especially with as we've been surprised more than once.
Prepare your home and land around your home for a category higher than the forecast. This should be the case for ANY storm.
Edited by Joshua (Sat Oct 22 2005 05:46 PM)
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MichaelA
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 952
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
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Usually, these late season storms eventually get incorporated into the frontal trough and become very vigorous extra-tropical storms. wil probably do that sometime after crossing Florida.
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Michael
PWS
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Rdietch
Weather Hobbyist
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For the love of God we are bickering over where the heck Longboat Key is? Gezz i just get home and you guys are going on about the watch area LOL so since i am 1 mile north of Longboat Key am i in the watch area or not?  i mean if you went west from my house you would be just north of there.So if my friends down the road 2 miles come to my house they are not in the watch area huh? its funny but to me it finally puts a end to some of the forcasts that are out there.But im sure someone out there thinks it will be north of the watch area.
Either way ill go by them and move a block north to make sure im out of the watch area
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collegemom
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Loc: Central Arkansas
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I've been out and about and promise to check previous posts. BUT----I was wondering has the eye cleared land yet? Hugh--someone-- just tell me please then I'll start reading
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character has been defined as what we do when no one is looking
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ShelleyMcD
Verified CFHC User
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Posts: 14
Loc: SRQ
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When you drive, it takes forever-- you have to go out to I-75, and then back south. If you look at the map, LBK is not that far south of Pinellas-- it MIGHT be as much as 15 mi due south of the Sunshine Skyway onramp from the peninsula. I have friends who grew up on Anna Maria, and boated out to Ft. DeSoto as kids.
Even though we're on the north edge, I'm "clearing the missiles.*
(*Bringing in furniture/plants/misc toys>)
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Self-Confessed Control Freak
(I know I can't control what will happen, but I can control how much I understand about it!)
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Joshua
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 43
Loc: Fort Lauderdale, FL
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75% of the outer 75NM eyewall is over water, and the remnants of the inner eyewall hasn't really cleared land yet. I would say around the 8PM advisory, the exact center should clear land.
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engicedave
Weather Hobbyist
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Loc:
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This post was sent to the Hurricane Graveyard
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harmlc.ath.cx
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 54
Loc: Longwood
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Also people, lets not forget that will be interacting with a cold front, which will increase the threat of tornados north of the actual landfall.
** All schools and government facilities for brevard county are closed Monday **
I havn't heard anything about Orlando Counties (Seminole, Orange County). Anyone have any information on closures?
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Big Tk
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 25
Loc: Tampa FL
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Basically the bottom line is, if you live south of New Port Richey i would prepare for the worst. This storm is immense and will affect everyone along the west coast of Florida. I just read the eye is 50-75 nautical miles wide that is HUGE.
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weatherwatcher2
Weather Hobbyist
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Loc: Parrish florida
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This post was sent to the Hurricane Graveyard
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MichaelA
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 952
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
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Looks like the center is right on the coast from the 2115 UTC vis sat pic.
Edit: Also, is that a NNE movement?
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Michael
PWS
Edited by MichaelA (Sat Oct 22 2005 05:44 PM)
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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser
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Loc: Valladolid,Mx
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People living in trailer parks have been ordered to leave in Broward County.No school in Broward Monday.Also no school in Miami-Dade Monday.
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Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .
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Rdietch
Weather Hobbyist
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Is that dry air trying to come in to the southwest of the center? sure looks to me everything is getting blown off and also too the NE
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Jamiewx
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 371
Loc: Orlando, Florida
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Inland Hurricane Wind Watch issued for Orange County including Orlando.
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"Climate is what you expect, weather is what you get"
- Robert A. Heinlein
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age234
Verified CFHC User
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Posts: 22
Loc: Winter Park
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Quote:
I havn't heard anything about Orlando Counties (Seminole, Orange County). Anyone have any information on closures?
Well, I'm a student at Full Sail in Winter Park, and they're still hemming and hawing about what to do. They said they would decide by Friday, and that never happened because of all this weirdness going on. A bunch of students from up north are getting nervous and some are going to risk failing their classes for attendence and leave anyway.
[edit] Maybe this inland hurricane watch will make the decision for them...
Edited by age234 (Sat Oct 22 2005 05:50 PM)
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Heather
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 91
Loc: Sebring, FL
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There is also an inland hurricane watch in effect for DeSoto, Hardee and Highlands County.
That'd be me.
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When it rains, it pours...
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tpratch
Moderator
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Posts: 341
Loc: Maryland
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I went to Full Sail a few years back. Forunately that year was 2003 and was a slow season.
Last year they closed after due to some damage I believe.
At any rate, Orlando is a pretty safe area and for now, I'd go ahead and plan on staying there unless the track moves to going straight across Orange county.
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TampaSu
Registered User
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Posts: 6
Loc: Tampa, FL
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HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
530 PM EDT SAT OCT 22 2005
...HURRICANE SLOWLY DEPARTING THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR ALL RESIDENTS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA
...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
 A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTLINE AND TIDAL SHORELINES
OF LEE...CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...AND SARASOTA COUNTIES.
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTLINE AND TIDAL
SHORELINES OF MANATEE...PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...PASCO...HERNANDO
CITRUS AND LEVY COUNTIES.
AN INLAND HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR NON COASTAL OR NON TIDAL
LOCATIONS OF LEE...CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS AND
SARASOTA COUNTIES.
AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR NON COASTAL OR
NON TIDAL LOCATIONS OF MANATEE...PINELLAS... HILLSBOROUGH...POLK...
PASCO...HERNANDO...CITRUS AND LEVY COUNTIES.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/showsigwx.php?wa...Local+Statement
This should clarify the whole Longboat Key issue... 
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