engicedave
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 70
Loc:
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FYI - Just got an automated phone call from PB County schools...closed Monday and Tuesday
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Tazmanian93
Weather Master
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Posts: 495
Loc: Tampa
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Tornado Watch For The Tampa Area issued by the NWS till 1am EDT Monday
-------------------- Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.
Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!
****************
Ed
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Wxwatcher2
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 337
Loc:
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Quote:
Its current path appears to take it through Big Cypress Preserve, across below Belle Glade, and then north of Jupiter (over Johnathon Dickinson State Park); so it appears to be about the best case scenario because those areas all the way through the state are fairly unpopulated...except by alligators, turtles and fishhawks (and a lot of sugar cane).
If you look at the Visible Floater Loop with the TPC Forcast Points layer on, it appears that she is running just a tad north of the forcast track. If that continued it would still be close to the current TPC track but maybe slightly north of it (which I guess would be a little closer to Naples...lets hope not). Hopefully it will stay on its current path.
Please realize that this is a 200 mile wide storm. To say it will pass over unpopulated areas might give some people the wrong impression. This is a dangerous storm and no one should take it lightly.
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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
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Tornado Watch 836:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0836.html
-------------------- www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh
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Kevin
Weather Master
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Posts: 524
Loc: EC Florida
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Quote:
Tornado Watch 836:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0836.html
That watch will likely extend further east, and perhaps north, as we go forward in time.
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swimaway19
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 32
Loc: Safety Harbor, FL
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According to Wunderground's NexRad Radar, there have been at least two doplar indicated waterspouts/tornadoes in the last half hour near Key West
http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?ID=BYX
Click on Animate
Click on Storm Tracks
Edited by swimaway19 (Sun Oct 23 2005 04:20 PM)
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Rasvar
Weather Master
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Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
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Interesting with that last vortex message. A little to the north of the path. I think it is more of a reformation in a large eye then a wobble, though. Pressure down slightly. Do not expect it to continue, though.
-------------------- Jim
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WXMAN RICHIE
Weather Master
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Posts: 463
Loc: Boynton Beach, FL
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I agree, be careful what we say about a so called alligator track. That track would put all of the 5 million people in SE Florida in the right front quadrant. This is the most populated area in the state right next to the so called alligator track.
-------------------- Another typical August:
Hurricane activity is increasing and the Red Sox are choking.
Live weather from my backyard:
http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KFLBOYNT4
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Beaumont, TX
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 318
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If the area is populated with one person then that one person is in the path of the storm and is in danger. With ,
our area was supposedly "less populated" than Houston
(we have over 200,000 in the Golden Triangle) but she
did extensive damage just the same. To the people "under the gun" it really doesn't matter
whether their area is highly populated or not. It is still POPULATED. Whereever hits she is going to do some damage and just
because it isn't a big city like New Orleans, it still affects people's lives.
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Geoff
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 50
Loc: Tampa, FL
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I wasn't trying to downplay what is about to happen becuase I have friends throughout southwest Florida and in Palm Beach and Martin Counties (I lived in Jupiter and North Palm Beach), and yes it is a big storm. I guess all I was saying is that it would be even more terrible if the eye followed 's footsteps through Punta Gorda, Lake Wales, Orlando and Daytona. There are still way too many temporary trailers with displaced residents from that storm.
Quote:
Quote:
Its current path appears to take it through Big Cypress Preserve, across below Belle Glade, and then north of Jupiter (over Johnathon Dickinson State Park); so it appears to be about the best case scenario because those areas all the way through the state are fairly unpopulated...except by alligators, turtles and fishhawks (and a lot of sugar cane).
If you look at the Visible Floater Loop with the TPC Forcast Points layer on, it appears that she is running just a tad north of the forcast track. If that continued it would still be close to the current TPC track but maybe slightly north of it (which I guess would be a little closer to Naples...lets hope not). Hopefully it will stay on its current path.
Please realize that this is a 200 mile wide storm. To say it will pass over unpopulated areas might give some people the wrong impression. This is a dangerous storm and no one should take it lightly.
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Geoff
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 50
Loc: Tampa, FL
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Sorry. I should have thought about what I said before I said it. Won't happen again.
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RedingtonBeachGuy
Moderator
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Posts: 342
Loc: St. Cloud, FL
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The site bandwidth could be severely tested today as the storm approaches the coast, but you can help by not posting the obvious and keeping your posts informative. We need to reduce the number of one-liners so that we can keep the site up and running during this serious event. Your help is appreciated. Some one-liners are ok if they are informative - just try to keep the number of them down.
If you aren't contributing facts, post in the Forecast Lounge. I am going to start cracking a whip from here on out.
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Joshua
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 43
Loc: Fort Lauderdale, FL
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The Broward County EOC has stated that Broward County schools are closed Monday and Tuesday for everyone's information (especially parents)
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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
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well you can clearly see the second front that will send on here way on this loop...
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/GOES/EAST/GMEX/RGB_loop.html
check NWS Fronts box
pretty october day in the Gulf Of Mexico.. except for that Cane down there... surf here in PCB was sweet this morning.. about 6-10ft with offshore winds... will try to upload some pics to my site later and post links... looked almost like it did when emily's swell kicked up to back here in july... water in low 80's...
found some pics from a surf shop here in PCB:
http://www.mrsurfs.com/surf_pics/surf1.jpg
http://www.mrsurfs.com/surf_pics/surf2.jpg
http://www.mrsurfs.com/surf_pics/surf3.jpg
-------------------- www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh
Edited by Storm Hunter (Sun Oct 23 2005 04:48 PM)
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RedingtonBeachGuy
Moderator
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Posts: 342
Loc: St. Cloud, FL
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You can pick up the wave action, marine reports, and water temps ahead of at this site:
http://www.oceanweather.com/data/Gulf-of-Mexico/index.html
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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
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here's latest on Alpha:
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...20.6 N... 72.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
ALPHA COULD BRIEFLY REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STATUS BEFORE
DISSIPATION IN A DAY OR SO.S FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
(sounds like Alpha was short lived)
**AT 5 AM AST (corrected 5 PM AST)...2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE TURKS AND
CAICOS AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.***
latest on coming...
Edited by Storm Hunter (Sun Oct 23 2005 04:53 PM)
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RedingtonBeachGuy
Moderator
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Posts: 342
Loc: St. Cloud, FL
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Looks like traffic is still moderate on I-75 and I-95 heading North. Venice is reporting higher vehicle counts per hour than historically average but everything is still flowing smoothly it looks like.
http://www3.dot.state.fl.us/trafficinformation/
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Colleen A.
Moderator
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Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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Good link, thanks....from looking at those two fronts, I am thinking you are talking about the 2nd one being the one that's currently over LA/TX that will steer ? Looks like the cold front is just north of TB with a stationary front on it's tail. Is that what you are seeing? Here in Lakeland you can feel a part of the cold front...but I don't think it's all the way here though, because it will feel humid one minute and then a little bit of a cool breeze follows. However, the humidity is definitely a little bit lower than what it was two hours ago. It also looks like the storm is going a little NNE than NE. Of course, those could be wobbles or changes in the eyewall.
Just my own observations, right or wrong.
-------------------- You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
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WILMA:
WILMA A LITTLE STRONGER AND ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD
FLORIDA...
REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...23.5 N... 84.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 959 MB.
-------------------- www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh
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sprghill
Verified CFHC User
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Posts: 13
Loc: Lake County, FL
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Repeating the 4 PM CDT position...23.5 N... 84.9 W. Movement
toward...northeast near 14 mph. Maximum sustained
winds...105 mph. Minimum central pressure... 959 mb.
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