Welcome, everyone, to the 2006 Atlantic Hurricane Season. While we sleep tonight, the first of many tropical weather outlooks will be issued for the season, likely only to tell us that there is nothing threatening on the horizon through Friday. After a season like 2005, from its fast start with in early June to its late end with in early 2006 with Zeta, that's a very welcome sight. Most predictions for this season foretell an active one, albeit not as active as last year; only time will tell as to how that pans out.
For those new to the site, welcome! For those who have been around, or are returning to the site after the off-season, hello and welcome back! My name is Clark Evans, one of the meteorologist bloggers here on flhurricane. From time to time during the season, you'll see Ed, Jason, and John post their thoughts here (and HF on the main boards) as well. Our goal here is to provide you with forecasting insight into tropical activity in the Atlantic basin during the season and insight into general hurricane topics outside of it. Last season was our first go around with these blogs and was largely successful; hopefully this season will be even better.
If there's something threatening out there in the tropics, whether it has formed yet or not, we'll cover it here. If a storm is ready to make landfall somewhere, you'll see us start to downscale things into what your region may expect from the system. We'll provide forecast thoughts from time to time, both on track and intensity, hopefully offering some additional insight into what the and other operational groups are looking at where they are normally unable to do so for brevity's sake. Of course, you should always take the word of the authorities when it comes to hurricanes, both for forecasting and preparation purposes; this is by no means official. However, while I can only speak for the others, I hope that you'll be able to learn something from our discussions as well. I'm always happy to entertain questions, thoughts, and ideas, whether on the board here via private message or in the Blogger Discussion or Hurricane Ask/Tell forums of the website.
We mostly cover the Atlantic basin here, though if anything happens to threaten Hawaii or, in the rarest of circumstances, the southwest US, we'll cover it as well. Discussion on all other storm basins, including the entire Pacific ocean, can be found in the Other Storm Basins forum, where discussion of Tropical Storm Aletta has just winded down. Most of us are based in Florida, but we don't limit our discussion to this state. For those of you new here, you'll find that we draw members from across the US and the globe as well as from inside of the professional meteorology community on down to the layperson just getting interested in the weather. Discussion will heat up as the season does, but by all means feel free to join in now!
As mentioned above, everything is pretty quiet in the Atlantic for now. Models are hinting at some possible subtropical development out by the Azores in a few days, but the chances of that are pretty remote at this time. Last season showed us that nearly anything can happen, however, so we'll watch it as well as everything else closely as the season progresses. Anyway, welcome to the 2006 Atlantic season -- here's to a quiet and safe one for us all!
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Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)
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