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Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued for area in the East-Central Atlantic, only with 10% chance for development, not expected to do much.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 239 (Idalia) , Major: 239 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 239 (Idalia) Major: 239 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2003 Storm Forum

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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


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Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Area of Interest - Invest 92L
      #6560 - Sat Jun 21 2003 11:22 AM

Another convective flare-up this morning in the southern Gulf of Mexico. This area has been trying to develop a system just about all week. Good cyclonic curvature focused near 20N 94W at 21/10Z. Movement to the northwest, however, a more northerly turn seems likely tonight with steering around the periphery of a weak ridge of high pressure in the central GOM. System is not yet well organized - but worth watching.
Cheers,
ED


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57497479
Weather Master


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Posts: 414
Loc: W. Central Florida
Re: Area of Interest - Invest 92L
      #6562 - Sat Jun 21 2003 01:37 PM

Good morning all, I noticed this area last night, and it looked very impressive on the IR loop. Haven't seen that much deep red in anything that I have watched so far this season. Some of the models are hinting on some kind of development as you mentioned. The weather pattern for the GOM seems to want to keep a steady stream of moisture from the gulf states all the way over into the w.coast of FL. In fact the GFS has again a system comming across the west coast of FL at around 36 Hrs. Them at 72 Hrs has a low sitting off the SE FL area. So far this year I can say that we have had a lot of activity to actually watch(haven't been bored yet) but none has actually come to frution. But as we all know it is only a matter of time until something does get going. The most of us have predicted a very active year, and the time clock has started ticking, the season is young and we have a lot of long and exciting nights ahead of us. The gulf has seen it's share of rain so far this season, and it looks like it is going to be around for a little bit longer. Toni

--------------------
TONI


All of us could take a lesson from the weather:
It pays no attention to criticism

My 2003 Hurricane guess 13-9-3


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