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Invest 97L has dropped to 30% chance of development over the next 5 days. Watching as it rapidly moves west over the Atlantic.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 331 (Nicholas) , Major: 346 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1400 (Michael) Major: 1400 (Michael)
 


General Discussion >> Hurricane Ask/Tell

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nl
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 207
Loc: nsb,fl
East Coast Swirl
      #70964 - Sat Aug 26 2006 11:00 AM

can i get a link to that ridge please

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TampaRand
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Fri
Posts: 76
Loc: Tampa FL
Re: East Coast Swirl [Re: nl]
      #70972 - Sat Aug 26 2006 11:17 AM

Quote:

can i get a link to that ridge please




http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/map/images/ens_jsw/ens_jsw.html#us

Look around. Most are experimental products that are VERY good. The North American plots are pretty much non-experimental at this point, although they're still in that program.

Check out the difference between 12 hours and 120 hours in the Ensemble.

Also, here's why Ernesto has strengthened and will continue to do so. You can see how far the 40-50kt. shear has pulled back to the west away from the system.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/archive/wg8shr-8.GIF

The shear will disappear to this system entirely in about 18 hours. And even at that, it's fairly moderate right now, what little there is.

--------------------
Amateur Weather Prognosticator and Cane Junkie.
www.hurricanewx.net

Edited by TampaRand (Sat Aug 26 2006 11:37 AM)


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