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General Discussion >> Disaster Forum

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traveller1
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Ernesto Over Water
      #72288 - Tue Aug 29 2006 07:24 AM

Dear all,
I am about to arrive Mia Intl. Wednsday 31st at 3pm. Is this recommended or should I stay away?
Thanks
Traveller


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DayDreamer
Unregistered




Re: Ernesto Over Water [Re: traveller1]
      #72291 - Tue Aug 29 2006 07:33 AM

Wednesday the 30th? or Thursday the 31st?

The 30th No ... If it turns into a Major hurricane then the 31st No.... but if its a Cat 2 or lower.. 31st would be a go.. or late evening on the 30th


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Psyber
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 231
Loc: Ontario, Canada
Re: Ernesto Over Water [Re: traveller1]
      #72292 - Tue Aug 29 2006 07:34 AM

Quote:

Dear all,
I am about to arrive Mia Intl. Wednsday 31st at 3pm. Is this recommended or should I stay away?
Thanks
Traveller




It will have passed miami by then however there could be storm related damage/power outages due to whatever strength storm it is. Looks like a strong tropical storm *possibly*(remotely) a weak CAT1 so the chance of some damage is small.

--------------------
The safest way to deal with a potential Hurricane hitting you...is to leave and just not be there at all.


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traveller1
Unregistered




Re: Ernesto Over Water [Re: DayDreamer]
      #72296 - Tue Aug 29 2006 07:39 AM

Sorry, its Wed. 30th at 3pm.

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Psyber
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 231
Loc: Ontario, Canada
Re: Ernesto Over Water [Re: traveller1]
      #72298 - Tue Aug 29 2006 07:50 AM

Quote:

Sorry, its Wed. 30th at 3pm.




Well in that case you are cutting it pretty thin. Ernesto doesn't have alot of water to gain strength over but what he is over is some pretty prime hurricane soup.

All the forcasts show him hitting miami or at least skirting it so there will be effects felt of some sort in miami...how much is anybody's guess until we see how much he strengthens over the straight.

--------------------
The safest way to deal with a potential Hurricane hitting you...is to leave and just not be there at all.


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Geoff
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Thu
Posts: 50
Loc: Tampa, FL
Re: Ernesto Over Water [Re: Psyber]
      #72300 - Tue Aug 29 2006 08:00 AM

Based on the sat loops he still appears to be moving NW to me; are any more of the models leaning towards the west?

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traveller1
Unregistered




Re: Ernesto Over Water [Re: Psyber]
      #72301 - Tue Aug 29 2006 08:01 AM

Thank you Psyber. This better info than getting from the airline. Guess they leave the decission to the captain and he will drop me in Orlando or so. I think I will have a look tomorrow morning and check the latest status at the airport. :?:

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Psyber
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 231
Loc: Ontario, Canada
Re: Ernesto Over Water [Re: traveller1]
      #72316 - Tue Aug 29 2006 08:41 AM

Quote:

Thank you Psyber. This better info than getting from the airline. Guess they leave the decission to the captain and he will drop me in Orlando or so. I think I will have a look tomorrow morning and check the latest status at the airport. :?:




Yes, since it'll be so close to Miami, any local closures/reroutes will probably be on an hour by hour basis. As of right now he looks to be maintaining a NW direction so (thankfully) no big ugly GOM loop. No real strengthening yet but you can see he is getting more organized after getting dried out by Cuba.

--------------------
The safest way to deal with a potential Hurricane hitting you...is to leave and just not be there at all.


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traveller1
Unregistered




Re: Ernesto Over Water [Re: Psyber]
      #72389 - Tue Aug 29 2006 11:13 AM

Seems with a little chance he moves more to the west and Miami will be not touched by the heavy winds. By now I will go 80:20 chance. But lets see tonight and tomorrow.

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