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General Discussion >> The Tropics Today

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HCW
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 287
Loc: Mobile,AL
2007 NOAA outlook is out
      #74944 - Tue May 22 2007 11:09 AM

NOAA PREDICTS ABOVE NORMAL 2007 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON 13 to 17 Named Storms Predicted Experts at the NOAA Climate Prediction Center are projecting a 75 percent chance that the Atlantic Hurricane Season will be above normal this year—showing the ongoing active hurricane era remains strong. With the start of the hurricane season upon us, NOAA recommends those in hurricane-prone regions to begin their preparation plans. "For the 2007 Atlantic hurricane season, NOAA scientists predict 13 to 17 named storms, with seven to 10 becoming hurricanes, of which three to five could become major hurricanes of Category 3 strength or higher," said retired Navy Vice Adm. Conrad C. Lautenbacher, Ph.D., undersecretary of commerce for oceans and atmosphere and NOAA administrator. An average Atlantic hur

http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2007/s2864.hmt

Fixed broken Link - Mike C.

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Edited by HCW (Tue May 22 2007 08:26 PM)


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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser


Reged: Tue
Posts: 828
Loc: Puerto Morelos,Mx
Re: 2007 NOAA outlook is out [Re: HCW]
      #74945 - Tue May 22 2007 11:45 AM

I could not find any good news at all.They seem very confident that it will be a very active year.

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Survived:
Gloria,Bob,Katrina,Wilma and a bunch of tropical storms.


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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Key West NWS Update [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #74963 - Thu May 24 2007 11:20 PM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1015 PM EDT THU MAY 24 2007

.DISCUSSION...
.CURRENTLY...
AN OPPORTUNE SATELLITE QUIKSCAT PASS OVERHEAD OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AT 714 PM EDT SENSED ENE WINDS 25-28 KT OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS...AND 25 KT OVER GULF WATERS NORTH OF THE LOWER KEYS. THIS IS AS FORECAST.
A COUPLE OF SHIP REPORTS AT 00Z IN THE STRAITS INDICATED ENE WINDS 32 AND 33 KT...BUT THESE WERE AT TOP-OF-SHIP ANEMOMETER HEIGHTS.
SEA HEIGHTS WERE REPORTED 10-13 FT OUT IN THE GULF STREAM. WINDS CONTINUE TO BLOW DUE TO LARGE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED JUST OFFSHORE CAPE HATTERAS (1030 MB) WITH ASSOCIATED RIDGE STILL EXTENDING SW TO GEORGIA THENCE ALONG THE NORTH GULF OF MEXICO COAST. AND...GENERAL LOW PRESSURE (NOT ORGANIZED) REMAINS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH 00Z PRESSURES OF 1013 MB AT GRAND CAYMAN...AND LOWER GOING SOUTH
FROM THERE.
LINES OF SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE SEEN ON KEY WEST RADAR ALIGNED WITH THE ENE WINDS...AND MOVING SWIFTLY OVER WATERS OF THE OUTER FLORIDA STRAITS AS WELL AS GULF WATERS NORTH OF THE LOWER
KEYS. PLUS SOME SPOTTY SHOWERS KEEP FORMING IN SMALL LINES NEAR THE KEYS ISLANDS AS WELL.
ON SATELLITE A WELL-DEFINED UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH IS SEEN MOVING EAST QUICKLY TOWARD WESTERN CUBA. SO FAR...THE FEATURE SEEMS MAINLY TO BE CREATING A LARGE AREA OF THICK MID AND HIGH CLOUDS OVER CUBA WHICH ARE DROPPING STRATIFORM RAIN AROUND CONVECTIVE CELLS DOWN THERE.

(bold emphasis added~danielw)
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php?pil=AFDKEY&max=61


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