Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged:
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
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wow... never seen super resolution radar from level II data on a tropical system... Going to come in handy tonight when tornados start spining up! nice eyewall starting to show up
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www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh
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typhoon_tip
Meteorologist
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Posts: 576
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Quote:
No, that's an eye there alright -- recon sure confirms it in their vortex reports and microwave satellite imagery show it developing earlier today as well:
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Dolly is moving along a gradient of oceanic heat content right now, avoiding a cool eddy to its south and a warm eddy to its north:
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It is along these gradients where storms seem to try to intensify at a fairly rapid clip, likely due to the enhanced flux potential the gradients provide. With waters sufficiently warm to provide ample oceanic heat to the storm, the only thing that should constrain Dolly's intensification should be landfall sometime tomorrow very near Brownsville. I'd place my bets in the high-end category 2 range with a little bit of wiggle room in either direction.
Agreed, eye. This is also coming into clarity over at TPC and the IR channels rather nicely... Looks like a real attempt a better structured is about to take place, as well, as there is a rather abrupt tendency to explode very cold cloud tops around the SW flank of the developing eye-wall.
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ShanaTX
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 226
Loc: Texas
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Does this report mean Dolly's a hurricane? Or does someone have to actually release the 5pm advisory first?
Also... to me it looks like it's going to have to make a sharp westward turn to hit Mexico... Looking more and more like South Texas.
'shana
The is the only one who can make that call but at times you can read between the lines...
Edited by Storm Cooper (Tue Jul 22 2008 05:06 PM)
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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged:
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
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pressure is 986mb now... more to come in a second
Now its Hurricane Dolly... upgrade coming out now
from last vortex... recon heading home
Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 986mb (29.12 inHg)
Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 10°C (50°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,048m (10,000ft)
Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 13°C (55°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,050m (10,007ft)
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 72kts (~ 82.9mph) in the northeast quadrant at 20:29:30Z
Distance of Surface Center From Flight Center: Surface center is within 5 nautical miles of flight center.
and if i am correct.. Dolly is dropping a 1mb an hour right now?
**Side note... my homeboy Kermit is up and on his way to dolly... (i got to tour N42RF back in the spring... the only plane to hit high G's in Felix and in Hugo)*** attached is a pic i took of N42RF
Edited by Storm Hunter (Tue Jul 22 2008 05:17 PM)
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