ShawnS
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 226
Loc: Pearland,Tx
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Just for the heck of it I was looking at the Corpus Christi,Tx radar and I need help from someone. Can someone please tell me if there is some sort of circulation right around there or does it just look that way because of the radar?
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Rich B
British Meteorologist
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Posts: 498
Loc: Gloucestershire, England, UK
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Shawn,
have just looked at the Corpus Christi Short Range Radar Loop and there definitely apears to be some circulation to the southeast of Corpus Chrisit, just offshore. Unfortunately i have not seen any visible satellite imagery yet, but will be checking it out as soon as i can, and will post my thoughts on it again soon
Rich
StormWarn2000 IWN
-------------------- Rich B
SkyWarn UK
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CaneMan
Unregistered
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Just checked a couple buoys in area with one reporting over 20 mph winds. No significant pressure drop yet though.
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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WOW that is interesting!
Cajun/bbadon
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1299
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Yeah gang that area does have an interesting little twist to it looking at the radar loops.. also gives the impression of a spin on the latest vis sat loop too if you look really really hard....
Latest obs from bouys in area show BP at 1012.4 but on the rise... Bouy 42020 has light north winds at 6K gusts to 10K and bouy 42019 has the south winds at 21K gusting to 27K...Can't find any west winds yet to indicate a SFC low...
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Cocoa Beach
Unregistered
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Looking at the loop:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/watl-ir4-loop.html
How do you tell if this rotation is a Upper Level Low, or if it is a Lower Level Low just by looking at the Sat. pic?
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Rich B
British Meteorologist
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Posts: 498
Loc: Gloucestershire, England, UK
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Looking at both the radar loops and the visible satellite loops it seems as if a circulation centre is very near Padre Island, Texas. Most of the convective activity is in the eastern semi-circle well the western semi-circle is over land and nearly convection free. This is an interesting system, and it will be interesting to see if pick up on this in the 1130am Outlook! Anyone have any thoughts on this feature?
Rich B
StormWarn2000 IWN
-------------------- Rich B
SkyWarn UK
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Steve
Senior Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA
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To me, it looks like it's at the butt end of an upper trof fairly just west of where the return flow is feeding moisture into SC and SW LA.
Steve
-------------------- MF'n Super Bowl Champions
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Rich B
British Meteorologist
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Posts: 498
Loc: Gloucestershire, England, UK
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Latest radar from Corpus Christi appears to show the circulation has relocated to the east of the previoous position, a little more over open water. Perhaps this thing is trying to get going?
-------------------- Rich B
SkyWarn UK
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ShawnS
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 226
Loc: Pearland,Tx
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It looks like it is too close to land to develop into anything. It also looks to be moving west anyway.If nothing else maybe it will give south Texas some much needed rain.
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Anonymous (HF)
Unregistered
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been around doing odd jobs for relatives, so none of my tropical banter for a couple of days. wonder if anybody here noticed?
anyhow got a lot on my mind, but a quick glance at the models earlier did show some stuff to keep an eye open for. apparently the system about to shear over the ridge building here in the east should leave a piece of energy behind that several global models are carrying down off the southeast coast by early next week, assigning a surface low and such. of course this would be one of those systems induced by an upper cutaway feature, so there are the usual doubts, but several models seemed to get the same general idea about it.. worth looking for.
sun finally came out and stayed out today. 'bout time, i say. the clouds and cooler weather were getting on my nerves.
i think i'll try a poll tomorrow, since i'd like to know what you all think about certain weather-related stuff. take it easy, all.
HanKFranK aiken, SC 0201z28june
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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Tropical forecast for tropical depression 3-e. The system has strong thunderstorms. Good outflow. The low leavel center is at the northern end that looks like that the thunder storms might cover it over and the next 12 hours the system will most likely get stronger. The pressure is 1008'' and the d scale is 1.5 to 2.0 the low north of the islands is moving back as it do's the subtropical jet will shear this system to a low and 36 hours or so. The is showing 91e this low area is geting sheared from the outflow of three and the system is weak but the avn 00Z shows it better than three. The show soming about 24 to 96 hours around 105 west and 125 west. No forecast yet on this. southern gulf thunderstorms mostly upper low and watching for any signs of lower leavel low and no model supports a system so no forecast the eastern atlantic as thunder storms and one model lower pressurs and the next few days. The west pacific to more tropical depressions 8 and 9 formed no forecast on these -------------------------* FORECASTER Matthew
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Steve
Senior Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA
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Ack! The Gulf is alive! There's a big old BOC in the BOC that looks like it's eating everything. Not exactly what I expected to see on the IR this morning.
Steve
-------------------- MF'n Super Bowl Champions
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garyb
Weather Guru
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Posts: 106
Loc: Hernando Beach,Fl
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BOC wow
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garyb
Weather Guru
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Posts: 106
Loc: Hernando Beach,Fl
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1200 UTC (8 a.m. edt) 6/28/2002 ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL OUTLOOK
Convective activity in the southwest Gulf of Mexico has blassomed overnight. Upper winds are not favorable for further development and there are no current signs of organiation. Therefore, any development should be slow to occur.
Elsewhere, tropical cyclone formation is not expected within the next 36 hours.
Forecaster: Ortt
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garyb
Weather Guru
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Posts: 106
Loc: Hernando Beach,Fl
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ABNT20 KNHC 281508
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT FRI JUN 28 2002
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES OVER
THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
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Anonymous (HF)
Unregistered
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quiet night in the tropics. eastpac going quiet, westpac going active, atlantic status quo. model support for a disturbance off the southeast now less than yesterday's runs, more divergent and less interesting really.
looks like we get a no-storm june, as well as a no-depression june. last time that happened was 1998...1991 before that.
thought of a poll topic.. not a totally fascinating one, but one worth getting user data on anyhow.
there.. tried to cover all the bases. i'll think of a better question next time.
HanKFranK aiken, SC 0425z29june
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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The gulf of mexico there a low leavel low forming around 23 north 98
west this low is still to close to land but it slowly moving away from the coast so will watch..
Matthew [image]http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/ps/trop/rt/gmex/ir..[/image] In reply to:
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Colleen A.
Moderator
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Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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I just looked at the NWS Discussion for the Tampa Bay Area. After reading through it and carefully analyzing everything they said re: atmospheric stablility, moisture contents, wind flow, etc. I have come to the following stunning and accurate (hahaha) conclusion:
THIS WEEKEND WILL BE A GOOD ONE IF YOU ARE A DUCK!
There. I just had to get that out of my system.
-------------------- You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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Rad
Weather Guru
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Posts: 173
Loc: St. Pete Fl. {27.8N 82.7W}
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Good one Colleen , I agree.
-------------------- RIDE 2 LIVE 2 RIDE
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