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92L East of the Bahamas up to 50% chance for development. NE Florida and Georgia should watch closely. Area behind Alberto up to 60% chance to develop.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 296 (Idalia) , Major: 296 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 296 (Idalia) Major: 296 (Idalia)
22.3N 102.0W
Wind: 30MPH
Pres: 1000mb
W at 24 mph
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News Talkback >> 2008 Forecast Lounge

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water vapor over NC shows dry air lifting
      #82473 - Wed Aug 20 2008 02:50 PM

Did anyone noticed on the water vapor view, the dry air that was supposingly keeping Fay south and forcing it to turn west - is lifting? Would that allow Fay to go further north and not turn west at all?

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Lamar-Plant City
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Loc: Plant City, Florida
Re: water vapor over NC shows dry air lifting [Re: tanana]
      #82487 - Wed Aug 20 2008 04:20 PM

I believe it is building high pressure over the central atlantic and seaboard that is going to keep Fay south, not the actual dry air.....

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Re: water vapor over NC shows dry air lifting [Re: Lamar-Plant City]
      #82499 - Wed Aug 20 2008 06:10 PM

I guess what I meant was there was a trough over NC that appears to be sliding to the east as shown on the water vapor model, and I thought that would allow Fay to move northward. The high pressure over Texas seem to be pushing to the east, so wouldn't that also allow Fay to move north?

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