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Tropical Storm Watch issued for the Lower and Middle Florida Keys from Key West to W of Channel 5 Bridge, and for the Dry Tortugas #RAFAEL #FLWX
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 26 (Milton) , Major: 26 (Milton) Florida - Any: 26 (Milton) Major: 26 (Milton)
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ADV#10 11:00 am EDT
38.5N 16.2W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 999mb
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Ene at 17 mph
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ADV#5A 6:00 pm EDT
15.8N 76.9W
Wind: 45MPH
Pres: 1000mb
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Nnw at 9 mph
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News Talkback >> 2008 Forecast Lounge
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tanana
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water vapor over NC shows dry air lifting
      #82473 - Wed Aug 20 2008 10:50 AM

Did anyone noticed on the water vapor view, the dry air that was supposingly keeping Fay south and forcing it to turn west - is lifting? Would that allow Fay to go further north and not turn west at all?

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Lamar-Plant City
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Loc: Plant City, Florida
Re: water vapor over NC shows dry air lifting [Re: tanana]
      #82487 - Wed Aug 20 2008 12:20 PM

I believe it is building high pressure over the central atlantic and seaboard that is going to keep Fay south, not the actual dry air.....

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tanana
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Re: water vapor over NC shows dry air lifting [Re: Lamar-Plant City]
      #82499 - Wed Aug 20 2008 02:10 PM

I guess what I meant was there was a trough over NC that appears to be sliding to the east as shown on the water vapor model, and I thought that would allow Fay to move northward. The high pressure over Texas seem to be pushing to the east, so wouldn't that also allow Fay to move north?

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