charlottefl
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 94
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What's really amazing to me is I live in Ft. Myers, FL and we started getting feeder bands as early as Monday night, along with about 5" of rain +/- Tuesday. I would venture to say it's rained close to an inch every day since then. So 6 straight days of rain from the same storm, she may not have been real strong, but she's certainly done a lot of damage for being just a "tropical storm"
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pcola
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 344
Loc: pensacola/gulf breeze
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I do not see Fay staying over the Gulf to Mississippi...actually the radar presentation makes it look like Fay may never go more than a few miles into the Gulf..if anything the coc has spreadout and possibly even made a jog north...Fay weakened over land thru the night and this trend looks to continue unless it gets a few 10ths of a degree south....
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Erin 95 , Opal 95, Ivan 04, Dennis 05, and that's enough!!!!
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mcgowanmc
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 96
Loc: NW ARKANSAS
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Yes, and what you've said about Ft Meyers and Fay's landing is important.
Tropical Storms are harbingers of rain.
Look at Texas now. Every day since Dolly/Edouard somewhere in Texas has gotten 10 inches
in a day it seems.
And I think that another important story overlooked is that August is more favorable for
Tropical Storms in the Mobile to Galveston area.
And the Hurricane Center has been treating Fay like it's a Mid September Storm. Ready to break East
or North.
IMHO ;}
Edited by danielw (Sat Aug 23 2008 11:25 AM)
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Lamar-Plant City
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 392
Loc: Plant City, Florida
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Finally got over an inch of rain yesterday here near Tampa. That gives up a TOTAL of 1.25 in for the WEEK. This has been VERY wierd as Fay has virtually circled us, pounded places south, east and north of us and yet we have been drier this week that any of the past 6 weeks. We DO have some bands headed out way this morning....and maybe we still get slammed to make up for the previous lack, but so far, Fay has had no impact on us except for a lot of worry and a day off of school.
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If you don't like the weather, wait 5 minutes...
2023 Season Prediction: 17/6/2
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MichaelA
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 952
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
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I've had over an inch of rain this morning here in mid-Pinellas County and had the strongest gust we've had all week just ahead of the last shower. The ground is saturated, so there is no soaking in - water is just setting on top. With the wind coming from the SSW off the Gulf, there will be more rain today and into tomorrow for us.
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Michael
PWS
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Beach
Weather Guru
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Posts: 187
Loc: Cocoa Beach/Banana River
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Fay still looks like she is going to be around for awhile.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html
If LP gets as much rain as I did in Indialantic Beach (24 inches)
It really could turn into a sad situation.
Now Looking ahead...
Wouldn't surprise me if 95L gets it act together before 94L
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t3/loop-vis.html
It is moving a bit fast, but we will see.
94L I bet is still 3 days away of getting it's act together.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-vis.html
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Clark
Meteorologist
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Posts: 1710
Loc:
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Fay is producing torrential rains across the Florida Big Bend and SW Georgia right now with rainfall rates averaging 1.5"/hr across the region. Rainfall rates to 4-6"/hr have been reported with the heaviest band currently extending from Thomasville, GA to Monticello, FL to Dekle Beach, FL and this will shift westward as Fay slides westward. Daily rainfall records will be broken today across this region, with 10.13" being the 24 hr rainfall record in Tallahassee to date. In some areas monthly record rainfall totals may be approached with storm total accumulations of 15" likely being the norm rather than the exception.
For Tallahassee and points west, the worst is yet to come. The airmass over the Gulf is unstable and very, very moist, resulting in the development and maintenance of intense, highly efficient rain-producing storms. With the Gulf of Mexico wide open to the south and southeast of Fay, this isn't likely to change anytime soon. Three-hourly accumulations near 10" have been observed in some spots and it is quite possible that similar totals are found in Tallahassee and nearby locales starting in just a few hours. An isolated tornado threat exists with these storms as well, although the potential may be a bit higher further to the north.
For those in my part of the world, I urge you to stay inside and do not venture out onto the roads. Many roads have been closed due to downed trees and many others will be closing due to flooding and further downed trees as the day progresses today. If you are out on the roads and come to *any* body of standing or moving water, turn around-don't drown. It only takes a small amount of water to move a car. Already many people have lost their lives in Florida due to this storm -- don't let rushing water or falling trees impact you as well. For those of you to the west, be prepared and do not let this catch you off-guard!
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Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)
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pcola
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 344
Loc: pensacola/gulf breeze
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It looks like Fay will not be going back into the Gulf..radar shows that the center of circulation is just northwest of Panama City, and north, or even with the northern most part of the gulf...unless she jogs a bit south (not far though) we will not have a 5th landfall
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Erin 95 , Opal 95, Ivan 04, Dennis 05, and that's enough!!!!
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