Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995

Gulf area up to 60% chance for weak development. A new Atlantic system is now up with a 20% chance for development, FL east coast and GA coast should watch for mid-late this week.**
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 292 (Idalia) , Major: 292 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 292 (Idalia) Major: 292 (Idalia)

News Talkback >> 2008 Forecast Lounge

Pages: 1
Registered User

Posts: 1
Computer models
      #84557 - Mon Sep 08 2008 12:49 AM

I live in south Louisiana, between Southwest Pass and the Sabine River, I looked at the AVNI computer model and it seems as though Hurricane Rita was closest to that model. Historically, how accurate is that model?

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  

Re: Computer models [Re: Kristi]
      #84561 - Mon Sep 08 2008 01:22 AM

well regardless of where ike goes it is pretty evident that south fl will feel some winds and rain. this system is massive and by looking at the radar it appears inevitable alot of florida will feel some affects especially if it has any northerly, wobble, jog, moonwalk or whatever. i bet when it arrives into the center of the gulf (if it does) it will encompass 90 percent of it..

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  

Posts: 1710
Re: Computer models [Re: Kristi]
      #84568 - Mon Sep 08 2008 02:48 AM

AVNI, or the GFS, is one of the better global models. Historically it is not often the best but is often toward the top. However, I would not advise taking one storm -- especially from past years, when the model setup was different -- and using it's performance with that storm to predict what any other storm will do.

Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1

Extra information
0 registered and 10 anonymous users are browsing this forum.


Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Topic views: 6220

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at
Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center