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Gulf area up to 60% chance for weak development. A new Atlantic system is now up with a 20% chance for development, FL east coast and GA coast should watch for mid-late this week.**
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 291 (Idalia) , Major: 291 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 291 (Idalia) Major: 291 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2008 Forecast Lounge

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cieldumort
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INVEST 96L TAG NOW ON SW CARIBBEAN DISTURBANCE
      #85319 - Sun Nov 23 2008 08:27 PM Attachment (814 downloads)

Here it is Sunday, and a persistent trof of low pressure is finally starting to come together a little bit.

Area pressures are now falling, and cyclonic flow is improving at the surface. A more pronounced center of circulation does now appear to be taking shape. Within the current environmental conditions, it does not seem at all out of the question that this could become another late season named storm within 72 hours.




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Bloodstar
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Re: INVEST 96L TAG NOW ON SW CARIBBEAN DISTURBANCE [Re: cieldumort]
      #85320 - Mon Nov 24 2008 05:33 AM

it has a shot, T numbers at 1.0/1.0 which is fairly insignificant, but certainly indicative of some organization.

Personally I'd give it about a 50/50 shot of developing into a TD in the next 24 hours.

Let's see how the convection develops over the nighttime hours, the extremely cold cloud tops are part of the reason I give the system a high chance of classification.

--------------------
M. S. Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Tech - May 2020
NOAA MADIS/HADS Programmer
U. Arizona PhD Student


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