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Development chances in the Gulf of Mexico are going up and a named storm could be approaching the US next week. Very active period continues. Flhurricane.com
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 7 (Helene) , Major: 7 (Helene) Florida - Any: 7 (Helene) Major: 7 (Helene)
23.0N 48.9W
Wind: 140MPH
Pres: 939mb
Moving:
Nw at 12 mph
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10.0N 33.0W
Wind: 65MPH
Pres: 996mb
Moving:
Wnw at 7 mph
Click for Storm Spotlight
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General Discussion >> The Tropics Today

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berrywr
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 387
Loc: Opelika, AL
Possible Tropical Activity near FL next Monday, Aug 23.
      #88977 - Fri Aug 20 2010 12:46 AM

Over the past few runs all global models are developing a tropical low near the coast of North Florida and moving it southwestward into the NE Gulf of Mexico beginning day 4; this upcoming Monday. The NAM has two lows; the other in the SE Gulf of Mexico. All agencies are coordinating their discussions with NHC in regards to the activity and the models are in consensus. If this system verifies as projected this will make the third system to hug the Northern GOM.

--------------------
Sincerely,

Bill Berry

"Survived Trigonometry and Calculus I"


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Robert
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 366
Loc: Southeast, FL
Re: Possible Tropical Activity near FL next Monday, Aug 23. [Re: berrywr]
      #88978 - Fri Aug 20 2010 01:28 AM

im gonna go out on a limb and say it looks to me to be ex TD 5 coming around again

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berrywr
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 387
Loc: Opelika, AL
Re: Possible Tropical Activity near FL next Monday, Aug 23. [Re: Robert]
      #88979 - Fri Aug 20 2010 01:50 AM

This is not Ex-TD5. This low has not even developed as of this typing and is expected to be attached to a stationary front before the real fun begins.

--------------------
Sincerely,

Bill Berry

"Survived Trigonometry and Calculus I"


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Robert
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 366
Loc: Southeast, FL
Re: Possible Tropical Activity near FL next Monday, Aug 23. [Re: berrywr]
      #88981 - Fri Aug 20 2010 09:00 AM

i think it is if you look off southcarolina its ex TD5 and its blowing up now

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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged:
Posts: 3526
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Possible Tropical Activity near FL next Monday, Aug 23. [Re: Robert]
      #88982 - Fri Aug 20 2010 10:43 AM

Some of the remnants of TD 5 appeared over Western Alabama early this morning in satellite views.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
420 AM CDT FRI AUG 20 2010

.SHORT TERM...REMNANT TROPICAL LOW THAT HAS CAUSED HEAVY RAIN ISSUES
ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS THE PAST FEW MORNINGS IS NOW FIRMLY EAST INTO
CENTRAL ALABAMA. HOWEVER...CONVECTION ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE
CIRCULATION IS UNCOMFORTABLY CLOSE TO THE MS/AL BORDER RIGHT NOW AND
IT IS NOT IMPOSSIBLE SOME LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS MAY SNEAK TOWARD
HIGHWAY 45 THIS MORNING. THIS IS CONSIDERED A LOW PROBABILITY RIGHT
NOW...BUT WE WILL BE KEEPING AN EYE ON THE SITUATION.

Edited by danielw (Fri Aug 20 2010 10:48 AM)


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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 950
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
Re: Possible Tropical Activity near FL next Monday, Aug 23. [Re: danielw]
      #88986 - Fri Aug 20 2010 09:14 PM

Agreed. The remains of TD5 are over north-central GA this evening and a newer system is offshore associated with the frontal trough.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/loop-vis.html

--------------------
Michael

PWS


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WeatherNut
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 412
Loc: Atlanta, GA
Re: Possible Tropical Activity near FL next Monday, Aug 23. [Re: MichaelA]
      #88989 - Sat Aug 21 2010 03:29 PM

Yes, and the 3inches of rain we got last night in parts of Atlanta attest to that. You could still see the rotation on local radar late last night

--------------------
Born into Cleo (64)...been stuck on em ever since


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