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Development chances in the Gulf of Mexico are going up and a named storm could be approaching the US next week. Very active period continues. Flhurricane.com
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 7 (Helene) , Major: 7 (Helene) Florida - Any: 7 (Helene) Major: 7 (Helene)
23.0N 48.9W
Wind: 140MPH
Pres: 939mb
Moving:
Nw at 12 mph
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10.0N 33.0W
Wind: 65MPH
Pres: 996mb
Moving:
Wnw at 7 mph
Click for Storm Spotlight
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Archives 2010s >> 2010 Forecast Lounge

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weathernet
Storm Tracker


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95LTrack & Intensity Forecast
      #89637 - Wed Sep 22 2010 01:20 PM

12Z GFS run has just come out. Cannot say I have seen this before, but at 126 hours we seem to have not one, but two developing "lows" in the W. Caribbean approx. 5 degrees apart ( east to west ). At about 192 hours out, each 999mb ( or lower ) low begin a process to coalesce. The former "developing" center of 95L appears to almost merge into the more Eastern Low at approx. 80 longitude, expand as one really large system and proceed to move due north through Cuba, S. Florida, and continuing northward along the coast.

(Post moved to the appropriate Forum - long-term track & intensity forecasts belong here.)

Edited by Ed Dunham (Wed Sep 22 2010 05:30 PM)


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BryanG
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Re: 95LTrack & Intensity Forecast [Re: weathernet]
      #89648 - Thu Sep 23 2010 11:08 AM

So I should take out the Generator and make sure it fires up this weekend, is that what I am hearing?

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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


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Re: 95LTrack & Intensity Forecast [Re: BryanG]
      #89652 - Thu Sep 23 2010 11:25 AM

This system is going to be a slow mover so you will have plenty of time if that becomes necessary - but I'm going to tell you 'yes' only because that is something that should be done before the start of every hurricane season if you live in a high risk area.
ED


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BryanG
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Re: 95LTrack & Intensity Forecast [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #89656 - Thu Sep 23 2010 12:06 PM

Thanks Ed ... I did pull it out in June, but that was a long time ago

I love what you guys do here, keep up the good work!


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