Current Radar or Satellite Image - Central Florida Hurricane CenterHurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995

The 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season begins on June 1st, 2019 and ends on Nov 30th, 2019.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 105 (Michael) , Major: 105 (Michael) Florida - Any: 105 (Michael) Major: 105 (Michael)

Archives 2010s >> 2011 Forecast Lounge

Jump to first unread post. Pages: 1

Reged: Sun
Posts: 4112
Loc: Orlando, FL
Nate Forecast Lounge
      #92190 - Tue Sep 06 2011 08:37 PM

The disturbance, that formed from a stalled front, and a band off Lee, is now being tracked as invest 96L. This area currently has a 40% chance of development.

The lounge forecast takes a look mainly at the Euro Model, which suggests it moving gradually northward into the northeastern Gulf (Alabama/Florida Panhandle). Historically September Bay of Campeche systems tend to travel northward. Unfortunately there is no clear cut forecast yet, and we'll have to watch the trends, those along the Gulf of Mexico will want to watch this one. Unfortunately, odds do not favor it getting close to Texas.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Weather Analyst

Reged: Fri
Posts: 387
Loc: Opelika, AL
Re: 96L (Bay of Campeche) Forecast Lounge [Re: MikeC]
      #92193 - Tue Sep 06 2011 11:21 PM

I took a look at this system earlier today and again tonight. The models do move the system north but at a snail's pace and is likely to be down there for some time; at least a week. For the moment it is not clear what type of system...tropical or hybrid given the upper air pattern and amplification of these systems across the Pac NW and Canada. Post-Tropical Lee will be with us for the foreseeable future and it with its upper support should pull this system north and northeast in due's going to be a long soak and no doubt many variables will come into play as we move forward.


Bill Berry

"Survived Trigonometry and Calculus I"

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1

Extra information
0 registered and 2 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  MikeC, Ed Dunham, danielw 

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Topic views: 3623

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center