Robert
Weather Analyst
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Loc: Southeast, FL
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She is not dead till she is dead. Should be about 600 miles east of florida heading NW in about 5 days.
Edited by Ed Dunham (Wed Aug 08 2012 01:05 AM)
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Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
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At 08/04Z, the remnant low pressure center of Florence was located at 18N 54W. The low continues a steady movement to the west and although under westerly shear, convection is refiring to the east of the center. With the shear on a slight decline for the next couple of days, there is a small chance for some redevelopment of the system.
ED
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LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Loc: South Florida
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You know despite being written off and having no chances and the Invest on gone... the remnants of Florence remain active. I find that interesting.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/avn-l.jpg
Lots of color there, persistent... how it manages that I don't know.
The area to the west of it is providing shear and well it keeps maintaining color and is easy to find despite being written off.
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http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/
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Robert
Weather Analyst
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Loc: Southeast, FL
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how is it possible? Energy. Florence is the biggest circualtion envelope i have seen all year. Storm like her just dont go away although weak, and fighting hostile conditions.
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Robert
Weather Analyst
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Loc: Southeast, FL
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really that upper level low heading for florida is going to touch the surface sat/ sunday right off the coast and give lots of rain and local gusts to 40mph, florence will be 600 miles east of florida slowly moving nw, the two will fuji war.
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doug
Weather Analyst
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Loc: parrish,fl
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the LLC opened into a wave yesterday.
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doug
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Robert
Weather Analyst
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Loc: Southeast, FL
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everything above has no real basis execpt for a model run a few days ago. I feel that has a good handle vs the other models on the shallow flow characteristics of the large scale pattern as a whole. im not focusing on the center of the LLC or wave, but as the whole synoptic pattern dealing with the upper low it self that has been moving slowly south for severla day and in the wake of ernest and upper level input from the outflow of , that the upper low would try and take on some mid to low level extra tropical characteristics. the wave entering the picture that is florence will be ventelated and sheared by this eveolving hybrid upper low. the result wouldent so much be the LLC forming again but more a meso scale features forming, fluxuating with the diernal pattern.
(Off topic material was removed.)
Edited by Ed Dunham (Thu Aug 09 2012 08:46 PM)
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Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
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Loc: Melbourne, FL
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At 10/00Z the remnant low level swirl of what was once Florence was located at 21N 62W and it is now stationary. Dry air and northerly shear have wiped out the remaining convection, so redevelopment is not expected.
ED
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Ed in Va
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I've been watching the potential interaction betwee the front crossing to the coast in the next day and the remains of Flo/convection south of it. Looks possible that at least the moisture will get entrained into the front...anything beyond that?
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Survived Carol and Edna '54 in Maine. Guess this kind of dates me!
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