Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
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Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
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Invest 98L in the far east Atlantic has a chance for slow development over the next few days. The moves the system toward the west - just to the south of a zone of westerly windshear. This is the place for your thoughts on the long range track and development (if any) of this system.
ED
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Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
Reged:
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
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Invest 98L is not as well organized as it was 24 hours ago. The system is moving toward a large area of strong southwesterly windshear and I'd expect that development chances should begin to decline.
ED
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vpbob21
Weather Guru
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Posts: 115
Loc: Ohio
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I have thought all along that the 's odds of development (40-50%) were probably overly generous, but I have to say that 98L looks a lot better this afternoon than it has in a while. Deep convection has really increased and the circulation seems to be getting better defined. With all the shear and dry air ahead of it, along with the general unfavorable phase of the , I'm still not convinced it's going to do anything. But I suppose if it can move slowly enough to stay behind the shear zone, it could have a chance. It will be interesting to see if the odds come up at 8:00 tonight.
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