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Reged: Sun
Posts: 4114
Loc: Orlando, FL
The Quiet Season
      #94903 - Fri Oct 25 2013 11:50 AM

Typhoon Haiyan Links

Boracay Cam#1 -- White Beach, west side of Island
Boracay Cam#2 - Toward Bolabog Bay East Side of Island

Haiyan Radar Recording
Haiyan Radar Recording

Haiyan Satellite Imagery

Original Update
With October nearing end, this year's hurricane season's odds of being the quietest in about 45 years is likely to occur. This is on top of Florida not having a hurricane make landfall in 8 years, not since Wilma in October 2005.

With this amazing lull in activity for Florida, a new round of people who have never experienced a hurricane in Florida makes potential for something happening in future seasons more risky, as the false sense of security tends to build..

This year only two hurricanes formed in the Atlantic, and even then nothing above a category 1. None of these made landfall, only one Tropical storm made landfall in the US, Andrea, in the Panhandle. This year's ACE rating is only a third of an average year.

One month remains in the hurricane season this year, and there is nothing on the horizon to indicate much happening.

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Weather Analyst

Reged: Mon
Posts: 960
Loc: parrish,fl
Re: The Quiet Season [Re: MikeC]
      #94905 - Thu Oct 31 2013 12:04 PM

This was the year of upper/mid level eddys (lows) that parked themselves in succession over the western Atlantic, near and over Hispanola.
These features had significant impact on the tract and strength of multiple tropical cyclones that in other years may have become significantly stronger and generated a more significant threat to the US mainland and Florida.
This was also a year of significantly drier air persisting along the subtropical zone across the whole basin.
It will be interesting to see what if any meteorological explanation may be offered to explain these features. Certainly from a lay perspective, these things were anomalies and relatively unpredictable in a long term sense. I have actively been engaged on this site since 1998 and I have never seen this pattern in those fifteen years.


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