Current Radar or Satellite Image - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995

Major Hurricane Ian making landfall overnight on western Cuba. Life-threatening conditions underway there now.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 8 (Fiona) , Major: 393 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1447 (Michael) Major: 1447 (Michael)
22.6N 83.6W
Wind: 125MPH
Pres: 950mb
N at 12 mph
Click for Storm Spotlight
Invest 99LClick for Invest Information from CIMSS

Archives 2010s >> 2014 Forecast Lounge

Jump to first unread post. Pages: 1
Weather Analyst

Reged: Mon
Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
Has the pattern changed; is the 'season" over?
      #95374 - Mon Nov 03 2014 01:47 PM

While it is not unheard of to get strong fronts down the Florida peninsula, the recent front which set a few record low settings and even threatened to have record low maximum temps seems to have had an impact even deep into the tropical areas where it is most likely to support development of late season tropical systems. does this suggest the door has closed to be at most only partially ajar, and no longer open?


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Storm Tracker

Reged: Sat
Posts: 327
Loc: Indiatlantic Florida
Re: Has the pattern changed; is the 'season" over? [Re: doug]
      #95375 - Tue Nov 04 2014 06:49 PM

Good question . I think the earth is wobbling a bit. This might be the answer.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)

Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Has the pattern changed; is the 'season" over? [Re: doug]
      #95376 - Wed Nov 05 2014 12:35 AM

In an attempt to provide a more sensible answer, I think that its reasonable to assume that the door on this season has closed. The arctic blast of a few days ago really cooled down the SSTs in the western Atlantic below the normal threshold that would support tropical cyclogenesis. The Florida hurricane drought will set a new record in a couple of days - and that is perhaps the most significant story of this season.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Storm Tracker

Reged: Wed
Posts: 218
Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
Re: Has the pattern changed; is the 'season" over? [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #95377 - Wed Nov 05 2014 11:21 AM

Yes, that is a phenomenal run and the takeaway from 2014.

Though it appears the obese dame has sang for the season, the pesky stationary front extending north into the Atlantic from Puerto Rico is forecast to weaken into a surface trough today, then a closed low could develop Thursday and possibly deepen into a subtropical low departing in the open Atlantic well east of the Bahamas by Friday. Without the early/strong fronts scouring out moisture and heat in the GOMEX and SW Atlantic, this activity could've been much closer to home.

CoCoRaHS Weather Observer (FL-VL-42) & Surf Forecaster:

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1

Extra information
0 registered and 0 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  MikeC, Ed Dunham, danielw 

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Topic views: 13203

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center