ADDED: At 09/0820AM EST, upgraded TD 12 to Tropical Storm Kate based on AF Recon data.
Tropical Depression Twelve has formed from invest 94L in the eastern Bahamas. It is expected to intensify to Tropical Storm strength, and for this reason Tropical Storm Warnings are now up for the eastern and Central Bahamas.
Once through the Bahamas it is expected to recurve away from the US and miss Bermuda to the West. Based on the atmospheric setup in the area and model consensus, this seems very likely.
This system is very compact and could have rapid changes in intensification, but only over a very small area. It's also moving very quickly at 15 mph, so any affects from it over the Bahamas shouldn't last very long. Recon aircraft is going to be checking it out today.
The 2015 Hurricane Season ends on November 30th.
Tropical Storm Kate Event Related Links
SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page
[https://flhurricane.com/floatanimator.php?year=2015&storm=12 Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of Kate
Animated Model Plot of Kate
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Kate
(Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Kate (Animated!)
Clark Evans Track Plot of Kate
Other Model Charts from Clark
Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for Kate
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Kate -- RAMMB Info
COD Atlantic Satellite View
> Bahamas Media
Television & Radio:
ZNS Bahamas, Radio & TV
More 94 FM Bahamas
The Abaconian - Abaco Island News
StormCarib Reports from the Caribbean Islands
Caribbean Weather Observations
Barbados Brohav Weather Fax
Full Caribbean Radar Composite
Caribbean Broadcast Corporation (TV/Radio from Antilles)
San Juan, PR NWS Page
Various Caribbean Radio Stations
DR1 Dominican Republic Hurricanes
Edited by Ed Dunham (Mon Nov 09 2015 09:01 AM)