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MikeC |
Admin 
Reged: Sun Posts: 4110 Loc: Orlando, FL
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91L is looking like it may go for a run for development today. 99L has a shot to get better organized today, broad center is south or just southwest of Andros island.
Robert
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Storm Tracker 
Reged: Sat Posts: 278 Loc: Southeast, FL
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How do i do radar recording just wondering? Also if you could can we start a long Range miami recording, Edited by Robert (Sat Aug 27 2016 08:19 AM)
MikeC |
Admin
Reged: Sun Posts: 4110 Loc: Orlando, FL
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Recordings are set up by us since its a custom system, i set one up for 2 Florida Radar Variants, the Cuba radar, and the floater sat. Image Recording Link
Hawkeyewx
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Weather Analyst Reged: Sun Posts: 99
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If the shear had been half the strength over the last few days, I have no doubt 99L would be a tropical storm. This morning it's not quite as bad and the convection is trying to catch up to the surface spin a bit, but it really has to reach the gulf before the shear becomes favorable. A few days ago the euro expected the Bahamas to be a favorable area, but it flat out failed to predict the development of 91L. There is an upper low associated with 91L that is digging into the Bahamas and is moving west in tandem with 99L.
MikeC |
Admin
Reged: Sun Posts: 4110 Loc: Orlando, FL
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91L Has surprisingly good convection, a bit of an exposed center, but not bad, it may have a better shot to get going before 99L does, although 99L is starting to fire convection on the western side, which is a first.
Hawkeyewx
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Weather Analyst Reged: Sun Posts: 99
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Quote: I was just going to mention the band of convection that has now been able to fire up the west side of the broad surface center. Down by the Cuban coast, where the big convective blowup is, the shear is actually not bad. The cirrus blowoff from that convection is fanning out to the west and not being blown off to the east. The blowup is more along a line of convergence along the Cuban coast south of the center rather than over the center, but this system is more interesting today than the last couple day. The north half of the disturbance is still under the influence of dry, sinking air and shear, which will continue to make further organization difficult.
Hawkeyewx
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Weather Analyst Reged: Sun Posts: 99
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The heating of the day has led to an explosion of convection over Cuba. At the same time, much of the convection over water has vanished. It'll be interesting to see what happens tonight when the land-based convection presumably diminishes. Sunday night is when the latest euro and hwrf begin to develop this thing, as it is passing the keys. That's about the time when the shearing upper low north of 99L begins to slam on the brakes while 99L continues westward and tries to slip under the eastern gulf ridge.
Owlguin
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Weather Hobbyist Reged: Thu Posts: 54
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Last few visible shots showed a good view of a pretty good circulation around 23/78 south of Andros.
Ed Dunham |
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017) Reged: Sun Posts: 2565 Loc: Melbourne, FL
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That seems to be in the ballpark. The 00Z NHC position was 23.5N 79.0W. ED
MikeC |
Admin
Reged: Sun Posts: 4110 Loc: Orlando, FL
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99L is got a bit of a circulation going, and may even be closed, but it's still getting a bit of shear from the north and just too messy to really develop. Monday night things may clear up a bit (feels like moving the goalposts again, unfortunately). But it's still worth watching, new phase of tracking will occur when the system gets into the Gulf. It may linger there nearly all week, and still be a mess at the end of it. The wildcard remains the hot water and the fact it's late August so things can change fairly rapidly.
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