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Archives 2010s >> 2017 Forecast Lounge

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Reged: Mon
Posts: 2184
Loc: Austin, Tx
Philippe Lounge
      #99120 - Tue Oct 24 2017 01:17 PM

A tropical wave merger with a developing area of low pressure very near and over central America has been tagged as a new Invest, 93L.

This feature has NHC designated development odds of 50% over the course of the next 5 days, and movement is expected to place Cuba, the Bahamas and possibly Florida in its sights, whatever comes of it, later in the period.

Edited by cieldumort (Sun Oct 29 2017 09:01 PM)

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Reged: Mon
Posts: 2184
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: 93L Lounge [Re: cieldumort]
      #99121 - Fri Oct 27 2017 11:13 PM

93L has been designated PTC EIGHTEEN today by NHC, with now 80% development odds (into a tropical or subtropical cyclone). It is very nearly there tonight, although might not have a well-enough defined center just yet.

Regardless of classification, EIGHTEEN is likely to bring tropical storm conditions to portions of Cuba, the Bahamas and perhaps south Florida.



12H 28/1200Z 20.1N 83.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 29/0000Z 22.9N 81.1W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND
36H 29/1200Z 26.2N 77.4W 45 KT 50 MPH...OVER WATER
48H 30/0000Z 30.8N 73.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
72H 31/0000Z...ABSORBED BY extratropical LOW

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Reged: Sun
Posts: 4489
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: 93L Lounge [Re: cieldumort]
      #99124 - Sat Oct 28 2017 01:47 PM

12 GFS has this landfalling in Southeast Florida, then another landfall near New Jersey/New England Monday morning and all the way into Quebec.

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