2PM AST Update 12 Aug 2018
As expected, a non-tropical low has formed in the north-central Atlantic and is showing some signs of being able to transition into a sub-trop or tropical cyclone. This system is now being tracked as an Invest, 98L, but is no threat to the Americas while it meanders over the subtropical Atlantic.
Elsewhere, the weak disturbance between the Caribbean and Africa has been decimated and is now given a near-zero chance of developing.
Ciel
Original Entry
The climatological heart of the Atlantic Hurricane Season is now just about a week away, generally thought of as mid-August trough mid-October, and while 2018 is expected by most specialists to end up with far fewer named storms, hurricanes and majors than last year, "it only takes one." Now, while it is still quiet, is a great time to do hurricane preparedness, so when the peak does come, and if a significant storm approaches, there will be less to worry about.
And all is not quiet. As of today, August 10, is now focusing on two features. One, an expected development of a non-tropical low out in the central Atlantic that could acquire sub-tropical or tropical status much like pre-Debby did. This feature should not be a threat to the Americas. The other, a disturbance located about midway between Africa and the Lesser Antilles, could slowly develop next week as it travels west-northwest towards the Caribbean.
Ernesto Event Related Links
SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page
[https://flhurricane.com/floatanimator.php?year=2018&storm=5 Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of
GOES Floater
Animated Model Plot of
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of
(Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of (Animated!)
Clark Evans Track Plot of
Other Model Charts from Clark
Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on -- RAMMB Info
COD Atlantic Satellite View
Invest 99L Event Related Links
SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page
[https://flhurricane.com/floatanimator.php?year=2018&storm=6 Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of 99L
GOES Floater
Animated Model Plot of 99L
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of 99L
(Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of 99L (Animated!)
Clark Evans Track Plot of 99L
Other Model Charts from Clark
Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for 99L
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on 99L -- RAMMB Info
COD Atlantic Satellite View
Central Pacific Hurricane Center
Radar:
South Shore Big Island, HI Radar Radar Loop
(Latest Static)
Kohala, HI (Big Island) Radar Radar Loop
(Latest Static)
Molokai, HI (Maui/Oahu) Radar Radar Loop
(Latest Static)
Kauai, HI Radar Radar Loop
(Latest Static)
River/Stream Gauges in Hawaii
Hawaii Power Outage Map
Hawaiian Media:
TV:
KITV 4 - Honolulu (ABC)
KHON 2 - Honolulu (Fox)
Hawaii News Now KGMB 9 (CBS)/KHNL 13 (NBC)
Newspaper:
Hawaii 24/7 (Big Island Newspaper)
Hawaii Tribune-Herald
Maui News
Honolulu Star Advertiser
Other:
Big Island News Now
Hawaii Tracker Big Island News
Edited by MikeC (Sat Aug 18 2018 07:28 AM)
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