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Some chance of development in the subtropical Atlantic, well away from land. Disturbance would most likely stay out at sea if it develops.

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 705 (Milton), US Major: 705 (Milton), FL Any: 705 (Milton), FL Major: 705 (Milton)

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MikeC
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Posts: 4862
Loc: Orlando, FL

Tropical Depression 3 Dissipates in late July

#99974 - Sun Jul 21 2019 09:30 AM

11 AM EDT 23 July 2019 Update
TD#3 has dissipated after recon found it falling apart.

There is an area in the Gulf with a 20% chance for development later in the week.

9:30 PM EDT 22 July 2019 Update
Tropical Depression 3 formed, and quickly lost convection after being upgraded. Although overnight it may regain some.

This is expected to remain offshore of Florida, and outside of right along the beach, should not be really noticeable to Florida.

Original Update
The National Hurricane Center is mentioning a new area east of the Bahamas in the Outlook, with a 20% chance of development. This area, being designated Invest 94L, has no model support yet, but there is enough vorticity to make it worth watching.

If this were late August or September it probably be much more concerning. It's been mostly surrounded by dry air, but is gaining some moisture, but will likely remain squelched by dry air for the next few days. It's fighting a front coming up as well, so the chances for anything happening are quite low. But because of the location it's now designated 94L.

No real model support, but the chance for a small system ramping up is still there. Since it's near Bahamas and Florida it has our attention.

See The forecast lounge. for more speculation.

July 22nd 5PM EDT update - The decided to classify the system in the Bahamas as Tropical Depression 3. Not much is expected from the system as it moves north for the next couple of days until it's likely absorbed by a frontal boundary.

However, interests along the Florida, Georgia, and Carolina coast should keep an eye on the system.

East Florida Links Southeast Composite Radar Loop (Latest Static) South to North:

Key West, FL Radar Radar Loop (Latest Static)

Miami, FL Radar Radar Loop (Latest Static)

Melbourne, FL Radar Radar Loop (Latest Static)

Jacksonville, FL Radar Radar Loop (Latest Static)

Caribbean/South East Coast Satellite Imagery

SFWMD Radar Loop of South Florida with storm Track

SFWMD Full Florida Radar Loop with Storm Track

Area Forecast Discussions: FLorida Keys - Miami/South Florida - Melbourne/East Central Florida - Jacksonville/Northeast Florida -

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MikeC
Admin

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Posts: 4862
Loc: Orlando, FL

Re: Watching 94L in late July

[Re: MikeC]
#99975 - Mon Jul 22 2019 09:33 AM

Radar Recordings:

Miami Long Range:
http://flhurricane.com/imageanimator.php?454

General Florida:
http://flhurricane.com/imageanimator.php?453

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MikeC
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Loc: Orlando, FL

Re: Watching 94L in late July

[Re: MikeC]
#99976 - Mon Jul 22 2019 12:24 PM

Recon tentatively scheduled for tomorrow afternoon.

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craigm
Storm Tracker

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Posts: 327
Loc: Palm City, Florida

Re: Watching 94L in late July

[Re: MikeC]
#99978 - Mon Jul 22 2019 03:02 PM

94L now up to 60% staying offshore (for now)

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