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General Discussion >> The Tropics Today
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cieldumort
Moderator


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Loc: Austin, Tx
Going Greek
      #101335 - Tue Sep 15 2020 03:01 PM




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cieldumort
Moderator


Reged:
Posts: 2705
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Going Greek [Re: cieldumort]
      #101364 - Fri Sep 18 2020 05:59 PM

NOAA article explaining this system and why we're now Greek in 2020

With Alpha, 2020 Atlantic tropical storm names go Greek

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IsoFlame
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 413
Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
Re: Going Greek [Re: cieldumort]
      #101393 - Sun Oct 11 2020 09:58 PM

18z October 11th GFS:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2020101118/gfs_mslp_pcpn_watl_58.png
Last several runs have stayed with the theme of a strong system (Epsilon?) ejecting NNE from the Caribbean to just off Florida's east coast.

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CoCoRaHS Weather Observer (FL-VL-42) & Surf Forecaster: https://www.surf-station.com/north-florida-surf-forecast-3/

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IsoFlame
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 413
Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
Re: Going Greek [Re: IsoFlame]
      #101398 - Tue Oct 13 2020 03:16 PM

12z GFS:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2020101312/gfs_mslp_pcpn_watl_64.png
Stronger (930 mb south of Cuba), slower and more west (Florida Straits or even SE BOMEX)

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CoCoRaHS Weather Observer (FL-VL-42) & Surf Forecaster: https://www.surf-station.com/north-florida-surf-forecast-3/

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IsoFlame
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 413
Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
Re: Going Greek [Re: IsoFlame]
      #101399 - Tue Oct 13 2020 03:29 PM

Its pointless to pinpoint this far out, but given the GFS consistency in calling for a significant hurricane eventually tracking north out of the Caribbean Sea in our general direction during the last week of October, I will be vigilantly monitoring each model run in the coming days.

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CoCoRaHS Weather Observer (FL-VL-42) & Surf Forecaster: https://www.surf-station.com/north-florida-surf-forecast-3/

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IsoFlame
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 413
Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
Re: Going Greek [Re: IsoFlame]
      #101400 - Wed Oct 14 2020 08:49 AM

06z GFS:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2020101406/gfs_mslp_pcpn_watl_44.png
still passing Fla east coast offshore (though closer and sooner than previous run). Wx channel and several of the local TV mets starting to cautiously mention now.

--------------------
CoCoRaHS Weather Observer (FL-VL-42) & Surf Forecaster: https://www.surf-station.com/north-florida-surf-forecast-3/

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