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92L East of the Bahamas up to 50% chance for development. NE Florida and Georgia should watch closely. Area behind Alberto up to 60% chance to develop.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 295 (Idalia) , Major: 295 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 295 (Idalia) Major: 295 (Idalia)
Rem Alberto
ADV#13 10:00 pm EDT
22.3N 102.0W
Wind: 30MPH
Pres: 1000mb
Moving:
W at 24 mph
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General Discussion >> 2024 Forecast Lounge
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cieldumort
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Loc: Austin, Tx
2024 Forecast and Modeling Updates
      #114873 - Tue Jun 11 2024 01:27 AM

As the features that tend to "lock in" a season's character become more evident as time progresses, many professional agencies update their preseason forecasts in June all the way through even October. In this thread we will highlight preseason forecasts and their updates, post updates to known predictors as they come in, and add any of our own thoughts.

This is an open thread to registered members with relevant information and opinions (backed up with reasoning please) to post.

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cieldumort
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Posts: 2317
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: 2024 Forecast and Modeling Updates [Re: cieldumort]
      #114876 - Tue Jun 11 2024 11:28 PM

Credit to: SeasonalHurricanePredictions.org.
Quote:

The Seasonal Hurricane Predictions platform provides free access to seasonal forecasts issued by a number of universities, private sector entities and government agencies around the world for the upcoming hurricane season in the North Atlantic.

The platform allows forecasters to make these predictions freely available to the wider public, compare the predictions with real-time hurricane activity, and obtain the best estimate of upcoming hurricane activity.

This platform has been co-developed by the Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC) and the Colorado State University (CSU), with support from the global (re)insurer AXA XL.



The following represent 2024 Season Forecasts issued through early June.

Named Storms


Hurricanes


Major Hurricanes

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