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92L East of the Bahamas up to 50% chance for development. NE Florida and Georgia should watch closely. Area behind Alberto up to 60% chance to develop.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 295 (Idalia) , Major: 295 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 295 (Idalia) Major: 295 (Idalia)
22.3N 102.0W
Wind: 30MPH
Pres: 1000mb
Moving:
W at 24 mph
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General Discussion >> 2024 Forecast Lounge

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MikeCAdministrator
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General Long Range Lounge
      #114884 - Sat Jun 15 2024 05:00 PM

This post covers areas that aren't well known yet, but are mentioned on models.

Starting off there's an area on 12Z GFS showing a depression or tropical storm making landfall near Jacksonville FL Thursday, area matches the weaker area shown on 0z euro (which is more toward Brunswick, GA)

Only thing likely here is some rain for Extreme Northeast FL and/or Georgia Coasts later this week.

12z euro shows this system closer to the Treasure coast of Florida thursday evening, entering the Gulf and making Landfall is eastern Louisiana friday night.


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MikeCAdministrator
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Re: General Long Range Lounge [Re: MikeC]
      #114887 - Sat Jun 15 2024 11:54 PM

This area is now tagged on the outlook with a 20% chance for development.

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