MikeC
Admin
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Posts: 4635
Loc: Orlando, FL
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This is to update how things are going on in your neck of the woods with Milton.
In Orlando, right now it's just rain rain rain.
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GlenJohnson
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 63
Loc: Waldo Florida
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Yup, outside Gainesville we've had just over 4 1/2 inches just today and we're in the center of the state. I'll be glad when this season is over.
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IsoFlame
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 370
Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
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Predecessor rain event past 24-hrs continues along the entire Florida coast, and has produced 1-3" (3 to 5" locally) along and just inland Florida's east coast.
Off/on light/moderate to briefly heavy rain here in Daytona Beach Shores past 24-hrs totaled 1.53" at 7am obsn. Wind has been from the east generally 10-15 mph with occasional gusts to near 20 in the heaviest rain showers.
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CoCoRaHS Weather Observer (FL-VL-42) & Surf Forecaster: https://www.surf-station.com/north-florida-surf-forecast-3/
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OrlandoDan
Weather Master
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Posts: 456
Loc: Longwood, FL
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Got 1.23" so far here in Wekiva Springs starting Sunday.
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Keith (1988), Charley (2004), Frances (2004) , Jeanne (2004), Fay (2008), Mathew (2016), Irma (2017), Dorian (2019)
Personal Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KFLLONGW67
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OrlandoDan
Weather Master
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Posts: 456
Loc: Longwood, FL
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At least one neighbor and I are going to board up tomorrow in Wekiva Springs. Too many old trees with water soaked ground. Branches and debris could be flying.
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Keith (1988), Charley (2004), Frances (2004) , Jeanne (2004), Fay (2008), Mathew (2016), Irma (2017), Dorian (2019)
Personal Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KFLLONGW67
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IsoFlame
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 370
Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
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2:30 pm... Since the 7am obsn we have had an addition 3/4" rain- so 2.25" past 18 hours. Interestingly, the overnight low was 72F (coolest low since late May) and it is currently in the low to mid 70'sF with no sun, and the high today so far was only 75F. These conditions suggest to me that north central Florida is on the north side of a stalled boundary associated with the upper-level low crossing the peninsula. Currently the east wind increased some from early this morning, currentlty 15-20 mph.
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CoCoRaHS Weather Observer (FL-VL-42) & Surf Forecaster: https://www.surf-station.com/north-florida-surf-forecast-3/
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cieldumort
Moderator
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Posts: 2497
Loc: Austin, Tx
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Someone else's
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IsoFlame
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 370
Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
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While not associated with Milton, starting at 5:30 am this morning, a narrow band of heavy rain with wind gusting to 30 mph is streaming in from the ENE off the Atlantic. This is associated with the increasing onshore flow on the backside of a departing low that is preceding Milton- a harbinger of expected worsening conditions for coastal Volusia tomorrow morning, north of where Milton exits central Florida (currently forecast to be near the Cape).
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CoCoRaHS Weather Observer (FL-VL-42) & Surf Forecaster: https://www.surf-station.com/north-florida-surf-forecast-3/
Edited by IsoFlame (Tue Oct 08 2024 05:53 AM)
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cieldumort
Moderator
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Posts: 2497
Loc: Austin, Tx
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A preview of what's coming
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JMII
Weather Master
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Posts: 546
Loc: Margate, Florida
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For Cape Coral / Ft Myers the following tide gauge will be critical:
https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/inundationdb/cidstorm.html?stormname=Milton#
Ian registered a max of 7.26 feet, flooding the area.
Helene registered as 5.12 feet and everyone stayed dry.
This only speaks to surge not street flooding from rain
EDIT: corrected link above, the surge values are based Mean Higher High Water (MHHW)
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South FL Native... experienced many tropical systems, put up the panels for:
David 79 - Floyd 87 - Andrew 92 - Georges 98 - Frances 04 - Wilma 05 - Matthew 16 - Irma 17
Lost our St James City rental property to Ian 22
Edited by JMII (Wed Oct 09 2024 09:51 PM)
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IsoFlame
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 370
Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
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At 5 am: 82F, cloudy, wind east 15 mph gusting to 20. 24-hr rainfall total 0.88". Took the daily obsn for FL-VL-42 earlier this morning while walking the dog ahead scattered coastal showers (not directly associated with Milton) approaching from the E/SE off the Atlantic.
At 8:15 am a stronger, gustier band of rain came in from the ESE with wind gusts to 30 mph.
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CoCoRaHS Weather Observer (FL-VL-42) & Surf Forecaster: https://www.surf-station.com/north-florida-surf-forecast-3/
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JMII
Weather Master
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Posts: 546
Loc: Margate, Florida
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Two tornados - both heading NNW
#1 far NW Broward, moving along US27 near the WPB county line
#2 S of Lake O moving towards Moore Haven
possible 3rd on I-75 Alligator Alley about half way between Ft Laud and Naples
Edited by JMII (Wed Oct 09 2024 10:34 AM)
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JMII
Weather Master
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Posts: 546
Loc: Margate, Florida
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Water level has begun to rise in Ft Myers. Barometer has dropped to 999.8 from a high of 1007.7 at midnight.
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IsoFlame
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 370
Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
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1:50 pm in Daytona Beach Shores: 79F, cloudy intermittent moderate to heavy rain (with thunder), wind ENE 25 mph gusting to 35 mph.
Radar indicated (as well as visually confirmed) multiple tornados racing north up the south half of the Florida peninsula embedded in scattered/ discrete cells 75-100 miles ahead (NE/E) of accelerating Milton's center of circulation. Based on this trend, expecting the most impactful weather in east central Florida will arrive later in the afternoon and early evening as the threat for tornados increases throughout east central Florida. This threat for tornadic wind will occur in bands of heavy rain accompanied by increasing ENE/NE winds of 50-60 mph potentially gusting to near hurricane force in the evening after Milton landfalls on Florida's west coast.
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CoCoRaHS Weather Observer (FL-VL-42) & Surf Forecaster: https://www.surf-station.com/north-florida-surf-forecast-3/
Edited by IsoFlame (Wed Oct 09 2024 02:07 PM)
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JMII
Weather Master
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Posts: 546
Loc: Margate, Florida
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Quote:
Radar indicated (as well as visually confirmed) multiple tornados racing north up the south half of the Florida peninsula embedded in scattered/ discrete cells 75-100 miles ahead (NE/E) of accelerating Milton's center of circulation.
This is most tornadoes I've seen in a Florida hurricane. However we never had all these fancy smart phone apps with storm cell tracking and velocity readings before. My RadarScope app looks like a Christmas tree 
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Littlebit
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 52
Loc: Plant City, FL
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Highest wind gust here in Plant City so far has been 29.8mph. 4.37 inches of rain with obviously no end in sight.
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Lamar-Plant City
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 392
Loc: Plant City, Florida
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Also in Plant City (just west of the High School). Don't have access to gauges at this point but torrential rain and rising wind. Barometer at 992 and falling.
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If you don't like the weather, wait 5 minutes...
2023 Season Prediction: 17/6/2
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IsoFlame
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 370
Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
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NE wind has currently (8:45pm) slacked up a tad to 25 mph or so, gusting into the 30's here in Daytona Beach Shores. Around 8:30 pm in a rain squall it was NE 35-40 mph gusting into the low 50's. I haven't emptied the gauge since 5 am this morning. Eyeballing the tube and spillover probably around 3". Roar of breaking surf one block away is loud and constant, only unheard (at times) by the tropical storm force gusts and wind-driven heavy rain. Elsewhere in central Florida at 8 pm:
TAMPA HVY RAIN NE30G53 29.19F
DAYTONA RAIN NE37G54 29.62S
ORLANDO CLOUDY NE30G44 29.49F
WINTER HAVEN RAIN E32G59 29.30F
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CoCoRaHS Weather Observer (FL-VL-42) & Surf Forecaster: https://www.surf-station.com/north-florida-surf-forecast-3/
Edited by IsoFlame (Wed Oct 09 2024 08:57 PM)
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IsoFlame
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 370
Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
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Major Hurricane Milton Makes Landfall Near Siesta Key Florida
Hurricane Milton Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024
900 PM EDT Wed Oct 09 2024
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, EXTREME WINDS, AND FLASH FLOODING
CONTINUE AS MILTON MOVES INLAND ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST...
...900 PM EDT POSITION UPDATE...
A sustained wind of 64 mph (104 km/h) and a gust of 93 mph (150
km/h) was recently reported at the Albert Whitted Airport in St.
Petersburg. A sustained wind of 78 mph (126 km/h) and a gust of 100
mph (161 km/h) was recently reported at a WeatherFlow station at
Egmont Channel. A sustained wind of 73 mph (117 km/h) and a gust of
102 mph (165 km/h) was recently reported at a WeatherFlow station
at Skyway Fishing Pier. A gust of 60 mph (97 km/h) was recently
reported at the Orlando Executive Airport.
The next update will be at 1000 PM EDT (0200 UTC).
SUMMARY OF 900 PM EDT...0100 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...27.4N 82.5W
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM N OF SARASOTA FLORIDA
ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM SW OF ORLANDO FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES
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CoCoRaHS Weather Observer (FL-VL-42) & Surf Forecaster: https://www.surf-station.com/north-florida-surf-forecast-3/
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Lamar-Plant City
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 392
Loc: Plant City, Florida
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Very intense rain and solid wind but nothing dangerous at 10:15p. Barometer down to 977 so we haven't bottomed out yet. 6 power flashes but it has come back each time. NWS issued a flash flood alert.
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If you don't like the weather, wait 5 minutes...
2023 Season Prediction: 17/6/2
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