cieldumort
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Posts: 2473
Loc: Austin, Tx
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A dry but well defined area of low pressure in the eastern Tropical Atlantic is unlikely to cook up much organized deep convection over the next few days as it tracks generally west, but has increasing model support to encounter less hostile to even favorable conditions for development once approaching, near or over the Antilles, and given that such a scenario could place many islands in play for a tropical cyclone, we are starting a lounge on this feature at this time.
The Low has already been Invest tagged 94L, and to prevent confusion with last month's 94L, the title is "October 94L Lounge."
NHC development odds at the time of this original post are an almost nonexistent 10% within 48 hours, but ramps up to 40% within 7 days.
More details to come
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cieldumort
Moderator
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Posts: 2473
Loc: Austin, Tx
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10-15-0z early model output for 94L. Wind in knots (color). Time in hours (number stamps)
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JMII
Weather Master
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Posts: 540
Loc: Margate, Florida
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There is a ton of interest around the "next" storm when/where ever it arrives. Even non-weather people at my company, many of whom don't even live in FL are talking about it like its a sure thing. Those of those familiar with the tropics know these things bubble up and fizzle out throughout the season.
-------------------- South FL Native... experienced many tropical systems, put up the panels for:
David 79 - Floyd 87 - Andrew 92 - Georges 98 - Frances 04 - Wilma 05 - Matthew 16 - Irma 17
Lost our St James City rental property to Ian 22
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