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Odds are rising for Invest 98L east of Bermuda. In the west, a Tropical Low is still fueling flash flooding across Four Corners region.

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 707 (Milton), US Major: 707 (Milton), FL Any: 707 (Milton), FL Major: 707 (Milton)

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General Discussion >> 2026 Forecast Lounge

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cieldumort
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Loc: Austin, Tx

Invest 98L - Possible Bermuda Impacts

#116251 - Wed Sep 16 2026 09:29 PM

The area of low pressure that's been hanging around east of Bermuda and which has actually seen odds decrease as of late could end up hanging around even longer and encounter a forecast of improving conditions for development starting as soon as this coming weekend and lasting well into the rest of the month thereafter, if verified.

In response to increased odds of this disturbance staying around for longer, encountering a more favorable environment and with a fair chance of tracking closer to or even over Bermuda, we are starting a Lounge on this system at this time.

Earlier today this disturbance did get Invest tagged, 98L.

98L History as of this entry
2026-09-17 00:00 32.4 -57.4 25 KTS
2026-09-16 18:00 32.1 -56.4 25 KTS
2026-09-16 12:00 31.5 -55.6 25 KTS

More to come

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cieldumort
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Loc: Austin, Tx

Re: Invest 98L - Possible Bermuda Impacts

[Re: cieldumort]
#116252 - Wed Sep 16 2026 09:41 PM

DeepMind FNv3 50-member ensembles on 98L. Most recent run advertising about a coin toss of becoming a named storm.

Credit: TC-ATLAS

DeepMind WNv3 (Most recent DeepMind version) ensembles run from 18Z today
Most but not all members that do develop 98L also keep it well east of Bermuda

Credit: Weathernerds

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