ShaggyDude
Weather Guru
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Posts: 112
Loc: Cocoa Beach, Florida
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Ditto on the Herbert Boxes, Thanks
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Redbird
Unregistered
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How worried are you Shaggy? btw.......neat nick you have.
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Ricreig
User
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Posts: 431
Loc: Orlando, Fl
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Quote:
I thought it was my net connection that was flaking. I will keep checking this site as it seems to have a lot of up to date info.
I hope it doesn't go back down also. While they were down, I found http://hardcoreweather.com/showthread.php?t=536 which has really good data available and seems current. I think HCW and ROLLTIDE are from there and while the forums are way too quiet, it is still a great place to visit for information. I don't see it is competition, but as kind of a backup place to go. This morning, I was posting about the northward (sudden) shift by the of it's forecast track. It looks like they've backed off some and now are saying 'Jupiter Inlet'. If the storm does come in there, Orlando will see it's second strong/major storm in just a couple or three week time. Not a good scenereo shaping up. HankFrank, do you feel there is any real reason to believe the current forecast track won't be close to what actually happesn? I know about models and how they change, but we are now at the 5 day point or nearly so, and the lines should stop changing so much as it gets close...'course proved the lines can change right up till it hits
....
-------------------- Richard
A forecast is NOT a promise!
Edited by Ricreig (Sun Aug 29 2004 07:59 PM)
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Ricreig
User
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Posts: 431
Loc: Orlando, Fl
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Quote:
My take on :
1- Looks like a close call with Hebert's box. Remember, almost every major hurricane to go through that box ends up hitting S. FL. as a major.
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Herbert's box? that is a new one to me. Could you define it for us (again)....as I get older, I get more senile I guess but I just can't place the term.
Yes, I did read the posted URL, but I'm not sure of the lat/long of this thing and has every storm going through this been a hit? Dumb, but I don't know the answer
RIchard
-------------------- Richard
A forecast is NOT a promise!
Edited by Ricreig (Sun Aug 29 2004 08:00 PM)
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LBlack
Unregistered
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I have enjoyed reading all the posts concerning . I live in Jacksonville, FL and am starting to get concerned about the weather events that could happen end of week. How do you all feel about Jacksonville being spared? I have read that alot of you think it will go south in to the gulf, but models and discussions say the south and the keys will be spared. Here in north FL some of the models still indicate a hit!
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Redbird
Unregistered
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My sympathies to anyone who was in Orlando during .........it was scary enough in Titusville and all we had was a tickle in comparison. Where in your mind would it exit out if it passed thru Orlando? Tampa?
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danielw
Moderator
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Posts: 3527
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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Does anyone know what the "SMRF" stands for in the plan of the day?
3. REMARKS: THE NOAA P-3 MISSION (FLIGHT ONE) REQUIRES AN
OPERATIONAL SMRF.
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Ricreig
User
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Posts: 431
Loc: Orlando, Fl
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Quote:
My sympathies to anyone who was in Orlando during .........it was scary enough in Titusville and all we had was a tickle in comparison. Where in your mind would it exit out if it passed thru Orlando? Tampa?
That is a big depends, but no, if it makes it to Orlando I am not sure it will exit much south of Cedar Key....that is always a hurricane magnet.
-------------------- Richard
A forecast is NOT a promise!
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Redbird
Unregistered
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Cross your fingers.............................I hope for the best and prepare for the worst.
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HCW
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 287
Loc: Mobile,AL
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Does anyone think that the models will shift back to the west at 10pm ?
Anyone listening to Hurricane citys show ?
http://www.hurricanecity.com/live.ram
-------------------- Over 4,000 members and now on a new server
http://www.hardcoreweather.com
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LBlack
Unregistered
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I think you forgot to mention Dora. It hit Jacksonville, FL almost 40 years ago to the day. With the models out there I believe it is cause for concern for us.
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EMS
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 56
Loc: St. Petersburg, Florida
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There was no damage from Andrew anywhere in the Tampa Bay area.
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