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Although still very unlikely to develop or be very strong, there could be an area to watch in the in little more than a week out from energy currently associated with the systems in the East Pacific.
Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 605 (Milton), US Major: 605 (Milton), FL Any: 605 (Milton), FL Major: 605 (Milton)
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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

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rmbjoe1954
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 428
Loc: Port Saint Lucie, Florida, USA
Re: Where was Donna when.... [Re: FlaRebel]
      #21871 - Tue Aug 31 2004 09:53 AM

Thanks; it just gives credibility to the Herbert Box Theory that if a hurricane comes under 20/60 then it will hit south Florida.

On to the next thread!

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________2024 Forecast: 24/14/7________

There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard


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Ed in Va
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 489
Loc:
Re: Where was Donna when.... [Re: rmbjoe1954]
      #21877 - Tue Aug 31 2004 09:59 AM

I think this is a new tracking model, but it may have already been posted:
http://www.hurricanealley.net/Storms/06LALLMDL.html

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Survived Carol and Edna '54 in Maine. Guess this kind of dates me!


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Lake Toho - Kissimmee
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 317
Loc: Kissimmee, Florida on Lake Toh...
Re: Where was Donna when.... [Re: rmbjoe1954]
      #21878 - Tue Aug 31 2004 09:59 AM

Has anyone heard that there was problems with the GFS data last night ? Doesnt the UKMET, NOGAPS, and possibly the Canadian modell get fed the same data ? I am not a model expert, but have been heariing there was issues with the data input last night at least for the GFS (and of course the models that initialize off that).

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Bev
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 132
Loc: Port Charlotte, FL and Abaco, ...
Re: Where was Donna when.... [Re: rmbjoe1954]
      #21888 - Tue Aug 31 2004 10:26 AM

When Donna Hit 60, she was at 17.16 N

-Bev

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Survived Charley at Cat 4 under a staircase. Won't do that again. I watch SW Florida and Abaco primarily.


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Bev
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 132
Loc: Port Charlotte, FL and Abaco, ...
Re: Where was Donna when.... [Re: rmbjoe1954]
      #21906 - Tue Aug 31 2004 10:52 AM Attachment (617 downloads)

Picture showing comparison of Donna in 1960 and the current Frances.

The lower track is Donna, the upper track is Frances.

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Survived Charley at Cat 4 under a staircase. Won't do that again. I watch SW Florida and Abaco primarily.


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