New Article: CSU releases 2026 season numbers, slightly below average. https://flhurricane.com
Days since last Hurricane Landfall —
US Any:
565 (Milton),
US Major:
565 (Milton),
FL Any:
565 (Milton),
FL Major:
565 (Milton)
Fletch
Weather Guru
Reged:
Posts: 121
Loc: Ft. Lauderdale, Florida
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11 Am is out
at 11 am EDT...1500z...a Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch have been issued for the Southeast Florida coast from Vero Beach southward to Florida City. This replaces the tropical storm watch. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.
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Irwin M. Fletcher
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susieq
Weather Watcher
Reged:
Posts: 49
Loc: Panhandle
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Underground has their 11:00 - http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200512_5day.html
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Gulf Breeze girl still not over Ivan
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ralphfl
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 435
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got to love these posts that come and wack they gone  anyway it will be IMO when this turns west that we will know where it is going to go.I dont think they are going to get it right on the button as most storms like to be different.
Anyway i dont like those model runs from and BAM would not be good to cross the state and go right up the coast anyway its going to be till the turn IMO when we will have a ideas where its going.
And like the i don't see this getting more then a low cat 1 before it hits.
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native
Weather Guru
Reged:
Posts: 148
Loc: SE Florida
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Hey all...
My house is totally under the gun! I live in Deerfield Beach...northern most city in Broward Co. less than 2mi from the beach...and I 'm stuck at a damn convention in Orlando. Told my partner I'm leaving Thurs.afternoon (6-7pm) after the show to go batten down the hatches (again).
It'll be real interesting to see the 5pm report as far as the intensity goes. Lotta "high octane" fuel out there....thank goodness she's a slow mover & waters are shallow...should help to keep her in check.
Riddle me this mets/mods: what's your take on this
www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/wcaribvis.html
Looks like dry air to the north being drawn in...could this stimulate an eye wall replacement down the road? If so, would this also help to keep her check?
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Clark
Meteorologist
Reged:
Posts: 1710
Loc:
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There's a new thread on the main board, everyone. Please post any future comments or unanswered questions there -- thanks!
-Clark
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Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)
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