New Article: CSU releases 2026 season numbers, slightly below average. https://flhurricane.com
Days since last Hurricane Landfall —
US Any:
549 (Milton),
US Major:
549 (Milton),
FL Any:
549 (Milton),
FL Major:
549 (Milton)
cieldumort
Moderator
Reged:
Posts: 2664
Loc: Austin, Tx
|
|
Hurricane John, who has recently been a -like Cat. 4 and brushed along the western coast of central Mexico, does now have his sights on the tip of Baja. Many models have shifted more and more to the right, and several now in fact clearly suggest a trip up along the western coast of Baja California.
As of this post update (2:40 AM CDT) Navy at 115MPH Cat 3
SSD CI 5.5 117MPH
Raw CIMSS ADT 6.l 134MPH
Cabo Radar Site
Wunderground model plots page for John
Wunderground historical track plots of similarly located tropical cyclones
|
vpbob21
Weather Guru
Reged:
Posts: 115
Loc: Ohio
|
|
Track looks like it's going well east of the projected ... moving NNW. Looks like it may just graze the eastern shore of the southern Baja and move up into the Gulf of California.
|
cieldumort
Moderator
Reged:
Posts: 2664
Loc: Austin, Tx
|
|
Lots of reasons to argue that the weakness in the High will allow him to move more NNW or NW than WNW or W, and possibly even make a right at some point. For now, his track appears to be generally on a level very similar to 2003's Marty.
NWS offices in Arizona are already including special verbiage to account for the possibility of thunderstorms with heavy rain. After 1997's Nora PR disaster, it would seem that everyone is treading carefully, of course.
|
cieldumort
Moderator
Reged:
Posts: 2664
Loc: Austin, Tx
|
|
models have again shifted (flip-flopped) well to the right (north and north-northeast) of ofci -- think will have their hands forced if just one more run comes in with several models showing an intact closed low crossing into arizona.
(The above models plotted on wunderground include the (avn), ukmet, bam medium, & . )
|
|
0 registered and 19 anonymous users are browsing this forum.
Moderator:
Print Topic
|
Forum Permissions
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
|
Rating:
Topic views: 7398
|
|
|
|
|
|
Note: This is
NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at
Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who
donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the
National Hurricane Center
G
Previous
Index
Next
Threaded
Edit
Reply
Quote
