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Wet weekend and next weekend, but tropical development very unlikely.
Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 599 (Milton), US Major: 599 (Milton), FL Any: 599 (Milton), FL Major: 599 (Milton)
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General Discussion >> Hurricane Ask/Tell
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Hurricane from Holland
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Wave off Florida Should Bring Rain... Tropical Depression 13 Forms in Southwest Gulf of Mexico
      #79011 - Wed Sep 26 2007 04:36 PM

Hey,
I from Holland. I like to watch hurricanes.
But why are they 2 cat. 5 storms and so many tropical storm ?

And karen could be a categorie 2. There are warm waters there.

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TampaRand
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Loc: Tampa FL
Re: Wave off Florida Should Bring Rain... Tropical Depression 13 Forms in Southwest Gulf of Mexico [Re: Hurricane from Holland]
      #79028 - Thu Sep 27 2007 12:51 AM

As to your first question, I don't know. I don't know if anybody really does have a solid answer on that except to say that maybe there has been a lot of vertical shear inhibiting development of some of these. Also, several have just formed so close to land, that they didn't have a big opportunity for intensification.

Your second question: Karen, while in some warm water and has enough fuel, is facing some very large challenges with an approaching trough and a lot of shearing winds. Those winds shear the tops off the clouds and inhibit convection from firing around the Low Level Center. It will likely intensify to Category 1 strength, but then encounters 3-4 days of shear and that will knock it back down to Tropical Storm Strength and maybe eventually kill it in the Atlantic maritime. I don't think there's anything solid on it dissipating, but there is a greater chance it never re-gains hurricane status.

--------------------
Amateur Weather Prognosticator and Cane Junkie.
www.hurricanewx.net

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