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A closed low has formed in the Bay of Campeche (SW Gulf) and may be getting better organized.
Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 610 (Milton), US Major: 610 (Milton), FL Any: 610 (Milton), FL Major: 610 (Milton)
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MikeCAdministrator
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Reged:
Posts: 4830
Loc: Orlando, FL
Off Season Wave East of the Caribbean
      #90111 - Mon Dec 20 2010 07:51 PM

A rare off season wave is now being watched for possible development east of the Caribbean. There is about a 30% chance for development.

This system is very small, but has a small shot Tuesday to develop.

Odds are against anything happening, but we'll be watching all the same. If it does develop chances are it will be short lived.

Error reading wiki page. View on wiki

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danielwAdministrator
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Reged:
Posts: 3527
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Off Season Wave East of the Caribbean [Re: MikeC]
      #90112 - Tue Dec 21 2010 08:12 AM

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EST TUE DEC 21 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A SMALL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILES EAST OF BARBADOS
IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION...AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF
THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS
IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM COULD ENHANCE RAINFALL AND
WINDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS TODAY.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

Happy Holidays

Edited by danielw (Tue Dec 21 2010 08:14 AM)

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