New Article: CSU releases 2026 season numbers, slightly below average. https://flhurricane.com
Days since last Hurricane Landfall —
US Any:
570 (Milton),
US Major:
570 (Milton),
FL Any:
570 (Milton),
FL Major:
570 (Milton)
jkapust
Registered User
Reged:
Posts: 5
|
|
For those still in the dark or reading this thread per the 5 day outlook I am concerned
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/day5nav_pre.html
992 mb shows intense deepening on or about 11/8, a pressure low enough to correlate with a few weak hurricanes or strong tropical storms. While this is not tropical in nature, and more of a noreaster, a pressure at 992 can still cause a minor storm surge. With steering and high pressure blocking still in play, where this storm lands is important, It will hit somewhere between NJ and Maine.
Structures are already weakened, trees that survived, may have endured strain on their roots, and may be weakened, where power is still being restored, a direct hit on or along the nj coast, could re-establish damage to the area, worsening things.
(Edited and moved to the appropriate Forum.)
Edited by Ed Dunham (Mon Nov 05 2012 12:36 AM)
|
Random Chaos
Weather Analyst
Reged:
Posts: 1024
Loc: Maryland
|
|
Not really the place for this, but given it's potential affect on NY/NJ recovery, I feel I should respond to jkapust's question:
All major long term global models are now showing a major Nor'easter developing off the coast next week and affecting the recovery area. looks like it could have an eye-like structure in the core, similar to what has been seen in some of the more powerful cyclones, such as the 2006 Blizzard. and are showing the potential for significant snowfall on the landward side of the system, though it's too far out to say for certainty what might happen and where a rain/snow line might develop. I do not have a source to look at the and UKMET models in the ways needed to evaluate snow potential.
Definitely something that people living in the areas hit by Sandy need to keep an eye on over the next few days.
--
Edit: Update follows:
ECMWF Wind Field - 12Z model on 11-4-12 at 81 hours:
SLOSH model - 11-4-12:
Edited by Ed Dunham (Mon Nov 05 2012 12:37 AM)
|
|
0 registered and 5 anonymous users are browsing this forum.
Moderator:
Print Topic
|
Forum Permissions
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is enabled
UBBCode is enabled
|
Rating:
Topic views: 4840
|
|
|
|
|
|
Note: This is
NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at
Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who
donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the
National Hurricane Center
G
Previous
Index
Next
Threaded
Edit
Reply
Quote
