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The area in the Central Atlantic now has a 60% chance to develop later this week (closer to this weekend). Since it's a delayed development situation, those in the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, Florida, and the Southeastern US should monitor the progress of this system. The biggest visible with the large wave, a large and broad spinning area is now visible on satellite, but it's still void of much convection. It has the potential to be a large rain maker for Florida and the Bahamas, and possibly elsewhere. Models are mixed on the system from Western Gulf to east of the Carolinas, with a few over Florida as well, with the added twist of a blocking high occurring which may stall the system out somewhere close to or over land and cause it to move erratically. With nothing developed and unlikely to until late in the week there's still not a great deal of confidence. It's likely to remain a weak system at least in the short term.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 22 (Beryl) , Major: 335 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 335 (Idalia) Major: 335 (Idalia)
 


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Registered on Fri Jul 23 2004 10:51 AM  


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