Low pressure has formed in association with a vigorous tropical wave located about 1,300 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands. This Low is now being tracked as Invest 99L, with an updated bid from NHC of 50% odds of development within 5 days, and this could be conservative. Provided it pulls it together before entering the Graveyard, which looks increasingly possible if not likely, the Antilles may be at risk of significant impacts.
Models suggest strong High Pressure building in to its north should keep it on a general west-northwest course, and at the longer range this could put the southern U.S. in play. This one needs to be watched closely for land impacts from the Antilles and points west and northwest from there.
FIVE has become a Tropical Storm, Dorian, and the title has been updated accordingly today, Sat 8/24/19 8/28/19 Dorian is now a Hurricane -Ciel
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