Ok models have been pretty bad this year so far, not even predicting Dorian a few days ago. But now we have a tropical Storm that could potentially impact land as a hurricane, including the eastern Caribbean, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola, and beyond. The caveat it's still early, and the East Caribbean is where things may fall apart.
ensembles do show us needing to watch in Florida, as well as Puerto Rico, East Caribbean and Hispaniola over time. Although nothing is set in stone currently, so we'll monitor it closely over the next several days.
If the GEFS timing were to verify, it would be near Florida on Sunday Sep 1 into Monday Sep 2nd.
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