I'm not liking some of the latest model runs being near Destin at all..... but with that said there's a LOT of variation in the intensity forecasts as well, including one that reduces it to nearly-not-a-TS by the time it exits into the Gulf near Tampa and while it'll wreck your day if it verifies even on the east coast it won't be anything close a major.
The Euro IMHO has a poor init on the storm right now and also has an insanely-strong high centered over Maine on the 1st that is the impetus for the due-west forcing pattern. I'm not buying that one given the lack of a good init and not sure I buy that evolution in the pattern either.
I suspect until somewhere around late tomorrow into early Friday we're going to have a lot of "dancing models" on this thing; by then they should all have a better handle on this thing.
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