Quote: The UKMET only updates at 12z and 0z, the last run is faster than the 0z, it makes landfall at west palm beach 4pm EDT Sunday as a 973mb hurricane (which is what Dorian is right now) , exits near Longboat Key around 5pm on Monday around 984mb, then ends the model run south of St. Joseph's peninsula in the Panhandle as a 963mb hurricane 7am on Wednesday. Double check the dates if you see anything different than that.
With the unfortunate part being the storm essentially not going over any land before it hits Florida. The SST's are 29-31C depending on which track you take in, neither of which is good news.
I always hate to say it but hitting the D/R and Cuba could have at least knocked some of the growth of this (at the risk of the people, unfortunately, living and at risk in those areas). Staying north, Dorian is going to land hard with a fairly large storm surge...not having much of anything in front of it except for the high over the lower south eastern quadrant of the country.
Do you think the current high is going to stick around to at least put a bit of a block against the storm, Mike?
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