TV in TPA suggested Tuesday night to Wednesday as the time for most activity. But who knows...that suggestion was based on the 5 day cone.. As correctly stated above, this thing is a mess. The ULL is still influencing the path and make up of the system...That feature was essentially oriented N-S when Dorian moved more northward away from Puerto Rico. Now that system is elongated WNW-ESE. Dorian seems to be following the flow along the top of that system. That system is also preventing Dorian from grabbing any real energized air and has entrained more dry air which is keeping its core size small and the west-SW side weak. Actually there is no major effective source for energized air input into the system..again keeping it very tiny. Earlier we were cautioned that the most effective time to pay attention to the projections is at the 72 hour mark, and with this system that 72 hour keeps shifting
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