Quote: That 20 gallons of gas saved our lives last year because we evacuated when Hurricane Michael hit our area and destroyed our home. If you think you need to leave - its better to do so, than to wish you did after its too late.
Hi, My mom lives in Cocoa just east of US-1 in a concrete block home on high ground built in the 1970s. It's in the High Point neighborhood, about midway between the river and US-1. I was wondering if those homes in Gulfport and Panama City that were destroyed were wood frame or concrete block? Also, any thoughts from anyone on whether a concrete block home that age in Brevard County should be able to withstand winds of ~140 mph?
- Larry in Gainesville
There were some darn stable houses on concrete pads with multiple cars/trucks and so on that were left with just the concrete pads where the houses were built on. Whole families that stayed, retreated up a level when the water started, retreated a level higher or into the attics, either got drowned in the attic or took chainsaws and cut themselves holes to the top of their houses. This was before the structures failed and the houses were swept away and out to sea. Gone. No owners left to even rebuild or lay claim to the ownership of a property.
I'm obviously in Canada and well away from a lot of what the southern USA/Caribbean and so on have to deal with. Still, we get remnants of hurricanes that come up here and rain the hell out of things. Before I started tracking and learning about hurricanes I have to admit I had that sort of "party atmosphere" mentality when it came to storms. Meh, how bad could they be, right? Now I know it can get bad enough that it's just too late. You can't run because the car is under three (of what could be THIRTY) feet of water, power goes and any idea of running that generator to keep pumping your basement out goes to hell because it's flooded out too. The winds turn 2x4's into wooden rockets that fly so fast they impale right through brick walls. The storm doesn't just blow over like a nice spring storm. It's not 20 mins, it's more like two or more hours of horrible winds and rain. The earth saturates from the rain and trees start falling on everything including your house. Tornados spawn so fast you can't even see them on the radar until they're on the ground.
God, there are SO many reasons to run from a hurricane for me now and I've only sat through a couple of weaker H2s on holiday when we couldn't run from the Dominican and Cuba. Sadly though a hurricane to most is just boarding up the windows so your stupid glass won't break. People never learn until it's too late.
NOW, as for the storm, I can't remember a time when the NHC has been this soft on a forecast. I know some are discounting the wobbles Dorian has been doing but they're 10-20 mile wobbles from either the couple of bouts of dry air it's had or from the prevailing iwinds. In any case it has a nice (or nasty depending on how you look at it) low in front of it. Definitely some strengthening although I can't see it even getting near to going through the panhandle and reforming in the Gulf. IT would have had to take a more southerly track and that would have put it over The Domincan and Cuba which would have beat the hell out of the storm.
My concern right now would be flooding. That's one hell of a turn it's going to be taking and you have to wonder how long it's going to sit in place before being pushed up the coast. Won't be like Harvey sat in Texas but from almost every forecast it's going to be going from basically W to N or N by N/E.
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